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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
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2019 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1397.
Colorado Avalanche vs San Jose Sharks

Schedule and 2018-19 Results:
Regular Season Records: San Jose 46-27-9=101pts, Colorado 38-30-14=90pts
Game 1 on Friday, 26 April: Colorado loses at San Jose, 5-goals-2
Game 2 on Sunday, 28 April: Colorado wins at San Jose, 4-goals-3
Game 3 on Tuesday, 30 April: San Jose wins at Colorado, 4-goals-2
Game 4 on Thursday, 02 May: San Jose loses at Colorado, 3-goals-nil
Game 5 on Saturday, 04 May: Colorado loses at San Jose, 2-goals-1
Game 6 on Monday, 06 May: San Jose loses at Colorado, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 7 on Wednesday, 08 May: Colorado at San Jose, 3-goals-2

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The San Jose Sharks hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 3-goals-2 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 victory. With the series 1397 win, the San Jose Sharks improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 20-20 overall and 5-9 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1397 loss, the Colorado Avalanche see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 20-13 overall and 6-4 (with an active four-series losing streak) in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious San Jose Sharks in series 1397 was WLWLWLW: Series 1397 thus becomes the sixth NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the ninth NHL series (all rounds), and the 26th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The win order for the victorious San Jose Sharks in series 1397 was the punch-counterpunch WLWLWLW; ironically, the first NHL team to win a best-of-7 playoff series WLWLWLW was the predecessor entity to the series 1397-losing Colorado Avalanche - the old Quebec Nordiques (in series 442, in the 1985 NHL Quarterfinals over their provincial rival Montreal Canadiens).

After Game 6: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the San Jose Sharks 4-goals-3 in overtime to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have a Game 7 record of 7-4, while the Colorado Avalanche have a Game 7 record of 4-6. The San Jose Sharks have a home ice Game 7 record of 4-1. The Colorado Avalanche have a road ice Game 7 record of 0-3. The sole San Jose Game 7 loss on home ice occurred in series 1228, in which the Sharks lost to the Los Angeles Kings in their 2014 NHL Preliminary round series (in which the Kings had trailed 3-games-nil but became the fifth MLB/NBA/NHL team to rally from that deficit for the 4-games-3 victory).

After Game 5: The San Jose Sharks hosted and topped the Colorado Avalanche 2-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 9-3 and a Game 6 record of 4-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 2-5 and a Game 6 record of 3-4. The Colorado Avalanche scored their first goal of series 1397 Game 5 at 17:01 of the second period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games, once before did the road team score its first goal at 17:01 of the second period - in series 875 Game 5, the Washington Capitals did so, in Tampa Bay against the Lightning in their 2003 NHL Preliminary-round series.

After Game 4: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and shut out the San Jose Sharks 3-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 6-11 and a Game 5 record of 7-10, while the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 8-5 and a Game 5 record of 9-4. In their last ten best-of-7 NHL playoff series when tied 2-games-all, the San Jose Sharks have seen their Game 5 outcome perfectly presage their series outcome.

After Game 3: The San Jose Sharks visited and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 10-4 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 7-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 4-4 and a Game 4 record of 6-2. In their last seven best-of-7 NHL playoff series irrespective of previous win order, the Colorado Avalanche have seen their Game 4 outcome perfectly presage their series outcome.

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche visited and topped the San Jose Sharks 4-goals-3 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 at 1-game-nil. When tied 1-game-nil in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 10-7 and a Game 3 record of 9-8, while the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 7-7 and a Game 3 record of 8-6.

After Game 1: The San Jose Sharks hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1397 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 14-7 and a Game 2 record of 11-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 5-7 and a Game 2 record of 7-5. The Sharks in San Jose trailed the Colorado Avalanche by a goal as late as 10:04 into the second period, but won series 1397 Game 1. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2018, inclusive, home teams down a goal as late as 10:04 into the second period had a game record of only 218-469 (.317).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NHL regular season, the San Jose Sharks finished eleven points ahead of the Colorado Avalanche. From 1939 through the 2019 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eleven regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 13-12 (.520) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1397 is the 40th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the San Jose Sharks, and the 33rd for the Colorado Avalanche. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have an all-rounds series record of 19-20, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 4-9, and a Game 1 record of 21-18, while the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 20-12, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 6-3, and a Game 1 record of 20-12. Series 1397 is the fifth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the San Jose Sharks and the Colorado Avalanche. Colorado won the first two best-of-7 NHL playoff series meetings between the two teams in series 778 (in the 1999 NHL Preliminary round) and series 859 (in the 2002 NHL Quarterfinals); San Jose won the last two in series 917 (in the 2004 NHL Quarterfinals) and series 1093 (in the 2010 NHL Preliminary round).