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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1390.
Dallas Stars vs Nashville Predators

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Nashville 47-29-6=100pts, Dallas 43-32-7=93pts
Game 1 on Wednesday, 10 April: Dallas wins at Nashville, 3-goals-2
Game 2 on Saturday, 13 April: Dallas loses at Nashville, 2-goals-1 (OT)
Game 3 on Monday, 15 April: Nashville wins at Dallas, 3-goals-2
Game 4 on Wednesday, 17 April: Nashville loses at Dallas, 5-goals-1
Game 5 on Saturday, 20 April: Dallas at Nashville
Game 6 on Monday, 22 April: Nashville at Dallas
Game 7* on Wednesday, 24 April: Dallas at Nashville
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 2-games-all @ HHVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 2-games-all with site order HHVV (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 330-168 (.663)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 95-49 (.660)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 152-104 (.594)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 60-41 (.594)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 320-178 (.643)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 94-50 (.653)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 160-96 (.625)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 62-39 (.614)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied LWWL irrespective of site order (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 81-68 (.544)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 25-21 (.543)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 43-38 (.531)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 18-15 (.545)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 77-72 (.517)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 25-21 (.543)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 38-43 (.469)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 16-17 (.485)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWWL @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LWWL with site order HHVV (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 45-23 (.662)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 17-10 (.630)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 21-16 (.568)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 11-8 (.579)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 41-27 (.603)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 16-11 (.593)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 18-19 (.486)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 10-9 (.526)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Dallas Stars hosted and outscored the Nashville Predators 5-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1390 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 3-6 and a Game 5 record of 2-7, while the Dallas Stars have a series record of 7-3 and a Game 5 record of 6-4.

After Game 3: The Nashville Predators visited and topped the Dallas Stars 3-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1390 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 6-1 (with an active six-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 3-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 2-9 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 5-6.

After Game 2: The Nashville Predators hosted and bested the Dallas Stars 2-goals-1 in overtime to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1390 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 4-6 and a Game 3 record of 5-5, while the Dallas Stars have a series record of 6-5 and a Game 3 record of 4-7.

After Game 1: The Dallas Stars visited and defeated the Nashville Predators 3-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1390 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 11-2 and a Game 2 record of 9-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-9 and a Game 2 record of 4-5.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NHL regular season, the Nashville Predators finished seven points ahead of the Dallas Stars. From 1939 through the 2018 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by seven regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 18-15 (.545) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1390 is the 19th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Nashville Predators, and the 29th for the Dallas Stars. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Nashville Predators have an all-rounds series record of 7-11, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-6, and a Game 1 record of 9-9, while the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 15-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 8-6, and a Game 1 record of 13-15. Series 1390 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Nashville Predators and the Dallas Stars.