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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1407.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trailblazers

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Portland 53-29, Oklahoma City 49-33
Game 1 on Sunday, 14 April: Oklahoma City loses at Portland, 104-pts-99
Game 2 on Tuesday, 16 April: Oklahoma City loses at Portland, 114-pts-94
Game 3 on Friday, 19 April: Portland at Oklahoma City
Game 4 on Sunday, 21 April: Portland at Oklahoma City
Game 5* on Tuesday, 23 April: Oklahoma City at Portland
Game 6* on Thursday, 25 April: Portland at Oklahoma City
Game 7* on Saturday, 27 April: Oklahoma City at Portland
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-nil irrespective of site order (Portland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 670-83 (.890)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 179-27 (.869)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 282-20 (.934)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 77-6 (.928)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 358-395 (.475)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 94-112 (.456)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 132-170 (.437)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 39-44 (.470)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil @ HH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-nil with site order HH (Portland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 531-56 (.905)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 149-15 (.909)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 243-16 (.938)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 72-4 (.947)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 267-320 (.455)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 77-87 (.470)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 108-151 (.417)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 37-39 (.487)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 2: The Portland Trailblazers hosted and outscored the Oklahoma City Thunder 114-pts-94 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1407 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Portland Trailblazers have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 3 record of 2-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 3 record of 4-0.

After Game 1: The Portland Trailblazers hosted and topped the Oklahoma City Thunder 104-pts-99 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1407 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Portland Trailblazers have a series record of 9-1 and a Game 2 record of 8-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 4-4 and a Game 2 record of 4-4. The series 1407 Game 1 win by Portland snaps a six-Game 1 losing streak by the Trailblazers.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Portland Trailblazers finished four games ahead of the Oklahoma City Thunder. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 26-12 (.684) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1407 is the 30th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Portland Trailblazers, and the 19th for the Oklahoma City Thunder. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Portland Trailblazers have an all-rounds series record of 12-17, a Preliminary-round series record of 2-7, and a Game 1 record of 10-19 (with an active six-Game 1 losing streak), while the Oklahoma City Thunder have an all-rounds series record of 10-8, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-3, and a Game 1 record of 10-8. Series 1407 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Portland Trailblazers and the Oklahoma City Thunder.