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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1406.
San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Denver 54-28, San Antonio 48-34
Game 1 on Saturday, 13 April: San Antonio wins at Denver, 101-pts-96
Game 2 on Tuesday, 16 April: San Antonio loses at Denver, 114-pts-105
Game 3 on Thursday, 18 April: Denver loses at San Antonio, 118-pts-108
Game 4 on Saturday, 20 April: Denver wins at San Antonio, 117-pts-103
Game 5 on Tuesday, 23 April: San Antonio loses at Denver, 108-pts-90
Game 6 on Thursday, 25 April: Denver loses at San Antonio, 120-pts-103
Game 7 on Saturday, 27 April: San Antonio loses at Denver, 90-pts-86

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 90-pts-86 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 victory. With the series 1406 win, the Denver Nuggets improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 5-17 overall and 2-9 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1406 loss, the San Antonio Spurs see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 37-25 overall and 12-5 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Denver Nuggets in series 1406 was LWLWWLW: Series 1406 thus becomes the second NBA Preliminary-round series, the ninth NBA series (all rounds), and the 26th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1406 victory by the Denver Nuggets snaps a five-series losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff action.

After Game 6: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Denver Nuggets 120-pts-103 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have a Game 7 record of 1-2, while the San Antonio Spurs have a Game 7 record of 4-6. The Denver Nuggets have a home court Game 7 record of 1-0. The San Antonio Spurs have a road court Game 7 record of 1-4. Irrespective of win/site order, home teams in NBA Game 7s have a 104-28 (.788) record overall, and a 19-6 (.760) record in best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round series.

After Game 5: The Denver Nuggets hosted and bested the San Antonio Spurs 108-pts-90 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 6 record of 0-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 1-12 and a Game 6 record of 4-9. The sole San Antonio series victory upon trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2 occurred in series 1049, in which they defeated the old New Orleans Hornets in their 2008 NBA Quarterfinals series. The sole Denver series victory upon leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2 occurred in series 347, in which they defeated the Milwaukee Bucks in seven games in their 1978 NBA Quarterfinals series.

After Game 4: The Denver Nuggets visited and bested the San Antonio Spurs 117-pts-103 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 5 record of 0-3, while the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 13-9 and a Game 5 record of 14-8. Tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series (as they now are in series 1406), the Denver Nuggets have a 0-3 Game 5 record, a 0-3 Game 6 record, and thus a 0-3 series record, and are surely eager to introduce a flaw into such perfection. Denver trailed series 1406 Game 4 in San Antonio by 12 points after one quarter, but won: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, road teams down a dozen points after one quarter had only an 8-52 (.133) game record prior to series 1406 Game 4.

After Game 3: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Denver Nuggets 118-pts-108 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 21-6 and a Game 4 record of 11-16 (with an active four-Game 4 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-12 and a Game 4 record of 2-10. The Game 3 losing streak for the Denver Nuggets when tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series reaches six games with their series 1406 Game 3 loss.

After Game 2: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 114-pts-105 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-9 and a Game 3 record of 1-8 (with an active five-Game 3 losing streak), while the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 12-12 and a Game 3 record of 15-9. The Denver Nuggets trailed the San Antonio Spurs at home by ten points at halftime of series 1406 Game 2, but rallied for the victory: In the history of best-of-7 format NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, home teams down ten points at halftime had a game record of only 12-31 (.279).

After Game 1: The San Antonio Spurs visited and defeated the Denver Nuggets 101-pts-96 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 30-7 and a Game 2 record of 26-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-11 and a Game 2 record of 3-8.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Denver Nuggets finished six games ahead of the San Antonio Spurs. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by six regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 23-4 (.852) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1406 is the 22nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Denver Nuggets, and the 62nd for the San Antonio Spurs. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have an all-rounds series record of 4-17 (with an active five-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 1-9 (with an active four-series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 10-11, while the San Antonio Spurs have an all-rounds series record of 37-24, a Preliminary-round series record of 12-4, and a Game 1 record of 37-24. Series 1406 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs. San Antonio won all three previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings against Denver.