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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
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leading, 3-games-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Irrespective of Game 1 site
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2019 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1406.
San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Denver 54-28, San Antonio 48-34
Game 1 on Saturday, 13 April: San Antonio wins at Denver, 101-pts-96
Game 2 on Tuesday, 16 April: San Antonio loses at Denver, 114-pts-105
Game 3 on Thursday, 18 April: Denver loses at San Antonio, 118-pts-108
Game 4 on Saturday, 20 April: Denver at San Antonio
Game 5 on Tuesday, 23 April: San Antonio at Denver
Game 6* on Thursday, 25 April: Denver at San Antonio
Game 7* on Saturday, 27 April: San Antonio at Denver
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-1 irrespective of site order (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 760-267 (.740)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 195-87 (.691)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 316-80 (.798)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 69-20 (.775)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 503-524 (.490)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 138-144 (.489)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 193-203 (.487)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 46-43 (.517)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1 @ VVH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-1 with site order VVH (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 234-138 (.629)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 63-47 (.573)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 75-44 (.630)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 20-14 (.588)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 189-183 (.508)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 56-54 (.509)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 69-50 (.580)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 20-14 (.588)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLW irrespective of site order (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 232-107 (.684)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 55-34 (.618)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 98-35 (.737)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 14-7 (.667)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 167-172 (.493)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 47-42 (.528)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 61-72 (.459)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 12-9 (.571)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW @ VVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLW with site order VVH (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 93-67 (.581)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 26-23 (.531)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 38-24 (.613)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-7 (.563)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 84-76 (.525)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 27-22 (.551)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 35-27 (.565)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-7 (.563)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 3: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Denver Nuggets 118-pts-108 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 21-6 and a Game 4 record of 11-16 (with an active four-Game 4 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-12 and a Game 4 record of 2-10. The Game 3 losing streak for the Denver Nuggets when tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series reaches six games with their series 1406 Game 3 loss.

After Game 2: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 114-pts-105 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-9 and a Game 3 record of 1-8 (with an active five-Game 3 losing streak), while the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 12-12 and a Game 3 record of 15-9. The Denver Nuggets trailed the San Antonio Spurs at home by ten points at halftime of series 1406 Game 2, but rallied for the victory: In the history of best-of-7 format NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, home teams down ten points at halftime had a game record of only 12-31 (.279).

After Game 1: The San Antonio Spurs visited and defeated the Denver Nuggets 101-pts-96 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1406 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 30-7 and a Game 2 record of 26-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-11 and a Game 2 record of 3-8.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Denver Nuggets finished six games ahead of the San Antonio Spurs. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by six regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 23-4 (.852) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1406 is the 22nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Denver Nuggets, and the 62nd for the San Antonio Spurs. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have an all-rounds series record of 4-17 (with an active five-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 1-9 (with an active four-series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 10-11, while the San Antonio Spurs have an all-rounds series record of 37-24, a Preliminary-round series record of 12-4, and a Game 1 record of 37-24. Series 1406 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs. San Antonio won all three previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings against Denver.