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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2019 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1405.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Golden State 57-25, Los Angeles Clippers 48-34
Game 1 on Saturday, 13 April: Los Angeles Clippers lose at Golden State, 121-pts-104
Game 2 on Monday, 15 April: Los Angeles Clippers win at Golden State, 135-pts-131
Game 3 on Thursday, 18 April: Golden State wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 132-pts-105
Game 4 on Sunday, 21 April: Golden State at Los Angeles Clippers
Game 5 on Wednesday, 24 April: Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State
Game 6* on Friday, 26 April: Golden State at Los Angeles Clippers
Game 7* on Sunday, 28 April: Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-1 irrespective of site order (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 760-267 (.740)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 195-87 (.691)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 316-80 (.798)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 69-20 (.775)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 503-524 (.490)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 138-144 (.489)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 193-203 (.487)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 46-43 (.517)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1 @ HHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-1 with site order HHV (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 490-117 (.807)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 132-40 (.767)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 217-28 (.886)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 49-6 (.891)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 292-315 (.481)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 82-90 (.477)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 111-134 (.453)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 26-29 (.473)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLW irrespective of site order (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 232-107 (.684)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 55-34 (.618)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 98-35 (.737)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 14-7 (.667)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 167-172 (.493)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 47-42 (.528)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 61-72 (.459)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 12-9 (.571)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW @ HHV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLW with site order HHV (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 120-34 (.779)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 29-11 (.725)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 49-7 (.875)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-0 (1.000)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 74-80 (.481)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 20-20 (.500)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 22-34 (.393)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 3-2 (.600)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 132-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 8-2 and a Game 4 record of 6-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 4 record of 3-0. The total of 384 points amassed by the Golden State Warriors in series 1405 Games 1-3 are the most in the first three games of a best-of-7 NBA playoff series since 2003, when the Dallas Mavericks totaled 386 points in series 899 Games 1-3 (in the NBA Quarterfinals against the Sacramento Kings). The total of 384 points amassed by the Golden State Warriors in series 1405 Games 1-3 are the most ever in the first three games of a best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round playoff series, breaking the record of 378 set two hours 39 minutes earlier by the Philadelphia 76ers in series 1403 Games 1-3.

After Game 2: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and vanquished the Golden State Warriors 135-pts-131 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 10-6 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 8-8, while the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 3-4 and a Game 3 record of 4-3. The Los Angeles Clippers trailed the host Golden State Warriors by 23 points at halftime in series 1405 Game 2. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, teams irrespective of site trailing by 23 points at halftime had a perfect 0-16 (.000) game record prior to the Clippers series 1405 Game 2 comeback victory. The 23-point series 1405 Game 2 halftime deficit by the Clippers is the second-largest halftime deficit ever surmounted in best-of-7 NBA playoff game history - in series 1336 Game 3, the Cleveland Cavaliers trailed the Pacers in Indiana by 25 halftime points in their 2017 NBA Preliminary-round series, but won the game. The series 1405 Game 2 loss ends the Golden State Warriors overall best-of-7 NBA playoff game winning streak at seven games.

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors hosted and topped the Los Angeles Clippers 121-pts-104 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 19-4 (with an active eight-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 13-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 2 record of 3-1. The series 1405 Game 1 win extends the Golden State Warriors overall best-of-7 NBA playoff game winning streak to seven games, beginning with Game 6 of the 2018 NBA Western Conference Finals. The series 1405 Game 1 win also extends the Golden State Warriors best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 1 winning streak to ten games. Golden State now owns a 17-1 Game 1 record, beginning with the 2014 best-of-7 NBA Preliminary round.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Golden State Warriors finished nine games ahead of the Los Angeles Clippers. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by nine regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 24-4 (.857) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1405 is the 34th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Golden State Warriors, and the 12th for the Los Angeles Clippers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 22-11 (with an active eight-series winning streak befitting a two-time defending NBA champion), a Preliminary-round series record of 6-1, and a Game 1 record of 23-10 (with an active nine-Game 1 winning streak), while the Los Angeles Clippers have an all-rounds series record of 4-7, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-3, and a Game 1 record of 7-4. Series 1405 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Clippers. The Los Angeles Clippers ousted Golden State from the 2014 NBA Preliminary round; since then, Golden State has recorded a 15-1 playoff series record.