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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1402.
Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Toronto 58-24, Orlando 42-40
Game 1 on Saturday, 13 April: Orlando wins at Toronto, 104-pts-101
Game 2 on Tuesday, 16 April: Orlando loses at Toronto, 111-pts-82
Game 3 on Friday, 19 April: Toronto at Orlando
Game 4 on Sunday, 21 April: Toronto at Orlando
Game 5 on Tuesday, 23 April: Orlando at Toronto
Game 6* on Thursday, 25 April: Toronto at Orlando
Game 7* on Saturday, 27 April: Orlando at Toronto
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 1-game-all @ HH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 1-game-all with site order HH (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 336-261 (.563)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 94-76 (.553)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 122-80 (.604)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 26-19 (.578)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 288-309 (.482)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 85-85 (.500)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 94-108 (.465)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 16-29 (.356)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied LW irrespective of site order (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 318-314 (.503)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 88-82 (.518)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 103-123 (.456)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 24-21 (.533)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 293-339 (.464)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 81-89 (.476)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 93-133 (.412)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 24-21 (.533)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LW @ HH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LW with site order HH (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 170-125 (.576)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 53-41 (.564)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 57-43 (.570)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 16-11 (.593)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 133-162 (.451)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 45-49 (.479)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 38-62 (.380)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 11-16 (.407)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1385 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 2: The Toronto Raptors hosted and defeated the Orlando Magic 111-pts-82 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1402 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 3 record of 3-3, while the Orlando Magic have a series record of 4-3 and a Game 3 record of 4-3.

After Game 1: The Orlando Magic visited and defeated the Toronto Raptors 104-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1402 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Orlando Magic have a series record of 8-2 and a Game 2 record of 5-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 3-7 and a Game 2 record of 5-5.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Toronto Raptors finished 16 games ahead of the Orlando Magic. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 16 regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 11-2 (.846) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1402 is the 13th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Toronto Raptors, and the 19th for the Orlando Magic. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have an all-rounds series record of 4-8, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-4, and a Game 1 record of 2-10, while the Orlando Magic have an all-rounds series record of 9-9, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-4, and a Game 1 record of 10-8. Series 1402 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Toronto Raptors and the Orlando Magic. Orlando defeated Toronto in series 1040, in the 2008 NBA Preliminary round.