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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2018 NBA Semifinals round - Series 1381.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Schedule and 2017-18 Results
Regular Season Records: Houston 65-17, Golden State 58-24
Game 1 on Monday, 14 May: Golden State wins at Houston, 119-pts-106
Game 2 on Wednesday, 16 May: Golden State loses at Houston, 127-pts-105
Game 3 on Sunday, 20 May: Houston loses at Golden State, 126-pts-85
Game 4 on Tuesday, 22 May: Houston wins at Golden State, 95-pts-92
Game 5 on Thursday, 24 May: Golden State loses at Houston, 98-pts-94
Game 6 on Saturday, 26 May: Houston loses at Golden State, 115-pts-86
Game 7 on Monday, 28 May: Golden State wins at Houston, 101-pts-92

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Houston Rockets 101-pts-92 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 victory. With the series 1381 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 21-11 (with an active seven-series winning streak befitting a defending NBA champion) overall and 5-2 (with an active four-Semifinals series winning streak) in the Semifinals round. With the series 1381 loss, the Houston Rockets see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 18-20 overall and 4-4 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1381 was WLWLLWW: Series 1381 thus becomes the second NBA Semifinals-round series, the sixth NBA series (all rounds), and the 18th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The visiting Golden State Warriors trailed the Houston Rockets by 11 points after the first half of series 1381 Game 7, but prevailed. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, road teams down 11 points after the first half had a game record of only 8-89 (.082).

After Game 6: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Houston Rockets 115-pts-86 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Houston Rockets have a Game 7 record of 6-4, while the Golden State Warriors have a Game 7 record of 2-4. The Houston Rockets have a 4-1 Game 7 record in Houston. The Golden State Warriors have a 0-2 Game 7 record on the road. Irrespective of win order or of round, home teams in best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 7s have a 104-26 (.800) record. Golden State trailed the visiting Houston Rockets by 17 points after the first quarter of series 1381 Game 6, but won the game. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, home teams down 17 points after one quarter had a game record of 2-5 (.286). Series 1381 Game 6 becomes the first in best-of-7 NBA playoffs history in which the home team allowed nine or fewer fourth-quarter points while scoring 30+ fourth-quarter points.

After Game 5: The Houston Rockets hosted and bested the Golden State Warriors 98-pts-94 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 7-1 and a Game 6 record of 4-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 2-3 and a Game 6 record of 4-1. The sole Houston series loss in the wake of a 3-games-2 best-of-7 NBA playoff series lead occurred in series 1012, in which the Rockets were defeated by the Utah Jazz in seven games in the 2007 NBA Preliminary round.

After Game 4: The Houston Rockets visited and defeated the Golden State Warriors 95-pts-92 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 6-7 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 6-7, while the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 6-4 and a Game 5 record of 6-4. The visiting Houston Rockets trailed the Golden State Warriors by ten points after three quarters of series 1381 Game 4. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, road teams down ten points after three quarters had a game record of 1-75 (.013). Only once before had a road team trailing by ten points after three quarters in a best-of-7 NBA playoff game rallied for the win: in series 890, the Boston Celtics trailed the Indiana Pacers 79-pts-69 after three quarters of their 2003 NBA Preliminary-round Game 1, but rallied for a 103-pts-100 comeback victory. With the series 1381 Game 4 victory by Houston, both NBA Semifinals series are tied 2-games-all for the first time since the 2012 NBA Semifinals.

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Houston Rockets 126-pts-85 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 7-2 and a Game 4 record of 6-3 (with an active six-Game 4 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 4-13 and a Game 4 record of 7-10. With their series 1381 Game 3 victory, the Golden State Warriors end a five-Game 3 losing streak when tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series. Series 1381 Game 3 with its 41-point victory margin now sports the third-largest best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 3 victory margin in best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 3 history. The 41-point margin of victory by Golden State over Houston in series 1381 Game 3 is the 11th-largest margin of victory in a best-of-7 NBA playoff game overall, and the sixth-largest victory margin by a home team in a best-of-7 NBA playoff game.

After Game 2: The Houston Rockets hosted and topped the Golden State Warriors 127-pts-105 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 9-3 and a Game 3 record of 7-5, while the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 9-6 and a Game 3 record of 5-10 (with an active five-Game 3 losing streak).

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors visited and bested the Houston Rockets 119-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1381 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 17-4 (with an active six-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 12-9 (with an active nine-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 5-15 and a Game 2 record of 4-16.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017-18 NBA regular season, the Houston Rockets finished seven games ahead of the Golden State Warriors. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA and NHL Quarterfinals rounds, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by seven regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 25-5 (.833) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1381 is the 38th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Houston Rockets, and the 32nd for the Golden State Warriors. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Houston Rockets have an all-rounds series record of 18-19, a Semifinals-round series record of 4-3, and a Game 1 record of 17-20 (with an active four-Game 1 winning streak), while the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 20-11 (with an active six-series winning streak befitting a defending NBA champion), a Semifinals-round series record of 4-2, and a Game 1 record of 21-10 (with an active seven-Game 1 winning streak). Series 1381 is the third best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors. Golden State won both of the previous two best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings between these two teams (series 1306, in the 2016 NBA Preliminary round; series 1282, in the 2015 NBA Semifinals round).