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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Irrespective of Game 1 site
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Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

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2018 NBA Semifinals round - Series 1380.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Schedule and 2017-18 Results
Regular Season Records: Boston 55-27, Cleveland 50-32
Game 1 on Sunday, 13 May: Cleveland loses at Boston, 108-pts-83
Game 2 on Tuesday, 15 May: Cleveland loses at Boston, 107-pts-94
Game 3 on Saturday, 19 May: Boston loses at Cleveland, 116-pts-86
Game 4 on Monday, 21 May: Boston loses at Cleveland, 111-pts-102
Game 5 on Wednesday, 23 May: Cleveland loses at Boston, 96-pts-83
Game 6 on Friday, 25 May: Boston loses at Cleveland, 109-pts-99
Game 7 on Sunday, 27 May: Cleveland at Boston

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 3-games-all @ HHVVHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 3-games-all with site order HHVVHV (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 183-93 (.663)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 42-17 (.712)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 86-23 (.789)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Semifinals round: 21-6 (.778)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1376 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLLWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WWLLWL irrespective of site order (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 31-14 (.689)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 8-2 (.800)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 20-4 (.833)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Semifinals round: 6-1 (.857)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1376 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLLWL @ HHVVHV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied WWLLWL with site order HHVVHV (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2018 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 28-13 (.683)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 8-2 (.800)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 18-4 (.818)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Semifinals round: 6-1 (.857)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1376 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2018 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Cleveland Cavaliers hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 109-pts-99 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1380 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a Game 7 record of 23-8, while the Cleveland Cavaliers have a Game 7 record of 4-2. The Boston Celtics have a 20-4 Game 7 record in Boston. The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 1-2 Game 7 record on the road (with the sole victory occurring at Golden State over the Warriors in the 2016 NBA Finals). The 31 Game 7 appearances irrespective of site, the 23 Game 7 wins irrespective of site, the 24 Game 7 home appearances, and the 20 Game 7 home victories by the Boston Celtics all top their respective categories in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff Game 7 history. Irrespective of win order or of round, home teams in best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 7s have a 104-26 (.800) record.

After Game 5: The Boston Celtics hosted and defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 96-pts-83 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1380 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 39-3 and a Game 6 record of 21-21. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 1-6 and a Game 6 record of 2-5. The sole Cleveland victory in the wake of a 3-games-2 best-of-7 NBA playoff series deficit occurred in their last such series, in series 1316 against the Golden State Warriors (in the 2016 NBA Finals). The sole best-of-7 NBA Semifinals series in which the team leading WWLLW @ HHVVH (i.e., Boston in series 1380) did not win the series was series 243, in which the old Baltimore Bullets (II) defeated the New York Knickerbockers in Games 6 and 7 of their 1971 NBA Semifinals series.

After Game 4: The Cleveland Cavaliers hosted and bested the Boston Celtics 111-pts-102 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1380 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 32-12 and a Game 5 record of 32-12, while the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 7-6 and a Game 5 record of 8-5.

After Game 3: The Cleveland Cavaliers hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 116-pts-86 to reduce the Boston Celtics best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1380 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 42-3 (with an active ten-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 18-27. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 5-5 and a Game 4 record of 8-2. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series history, teams losing Games 1-2 on the road and winning Game 3 at home by 30+ points (such as the Cleveland Cavaliers in series 1380) have a 2-3 series record, with the two wins characterized by a Game 4 loss and then wins in Games 5-7, and with the Cleveland Cavaliers having notched the last such series victory (in series 1316, over the Golden State Warriors in the 2016 NBA Finals).

After Game 2: The Boston Celtics hosted and topped the Cleveland Cavaliers 107-pts-94 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1380 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 37-0 and a Game 3 record of 14-23. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 2-6 and a Game 3 record of 5-3.

After Game 1: The Boston Celtics hosted and bested the Cleveland Cavaliers 108-pts-83 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1380 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 55-5 (with an active 11-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 37-23. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 5-9 and a Game 2 record of 6-8. The 26-point halftime lead by the Boston Celtics over the visiting Cleveland Cavaliers in series 1380 Game 1 was the largest halftime lead in Game 1 of a best-of-7 NBA Semifinals series since series 768, in which the Utah Jazz hosted and led the Los Angeles Lakers 61-pts-35 in Game 1 of their 1998 NBA Semifinals series. While the Boston Celtics own an 18-2 Semifinals series record (with an active six-series winning streak) upon leading a best-of-7 NBA Semifinals series 1-game-nil, the two series losses (series 273, in the 1973 NBA Semifinals to the New York Knickerbockers; series 408, in the 1982 NBA Semifinals to the Philadelphia 76ers; both in seven games) both occurred after Game 1 home-court blowout victories (134-pts-108 vs New York; 121-pts-81 vs Philadelphia).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017-18 NBA regular season, the Boston Celtics finished five games ahead of the Cleveland Cavaliers. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA and NHL Quarterfinals rounds, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by five regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 25-9 (.735) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1380 is the 93rd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Boston Celtics, and the 33rd for the Cleveland Cavaliers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 66-26, a Semifinals-round series record of 20-10, and a Game 1 record of 60-32, while the Cleveland Cavaliers have an all-rounds series record of 22-10, a Semifinals-round series record of 4-3, and a Game 1 record of 18-14. Series 1380 is the seventh best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers. The teams have split their previous six best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings, with Cleveland winning the last two (series 1347, in the 2017 NBA Semifinals; series 1270, in the 2015 NBA Preliminary round).