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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2018 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1375.
Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Schedule and 2017-18 Results
Regular Season Records: Oklahoma City 48-34, Utah 48-34
Game 1 on Sunday 15 April: Utah loses at Oklahoma City, 116-pts-108
Game 2 on Wednesday 18 April: Utah wins at Oklahoma City, 102-pts-95
Game 3 on Saturday 21 April: Oklahoma City loses at Utah, 115-pts-102
Game 4 on Monday 23 April: Oklahoma City loses at Utah, 113-pts-96
Game 5 on Wednesday 25 April: Utah at Oklahoma City
Game 6* on Friday 27 April: Oklahoma City at Utah
Game 7* on Sunday 29 April: Utah at Oklahoma City
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-1 irrespective of site order (Utah) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 565-52 (.916)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 144-21 (.873)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 226-11 (.954)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 53-2 (.964)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 347-270 (.562)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 83-82 (.503)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 139-98 (.586)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 31-24 (.564)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ VVHH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-1 with site order VVHH (Utah) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 180-27 (.870)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 48-11 (.814)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 62-8 (.886)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 17-2 (.895)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 77-130 (.372)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 15-44 (.254)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 18-52 (.257)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 2-17 (.105)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading LWWW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading LWWW irrespective of site order (Utah) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 125-14 (.899)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 28-6 (.824)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 41-3 (.932)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-1 (.900)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 58-81 (.417)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 12-22 (.353)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 19-25 (.432)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 3-7 (.300)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading LWWW @ VVHH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading LWWW with site order VVHH (Utah) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 66-5 (.930)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 15-1 (.938)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 25-2 (.926)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 6-1 (.857)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 25-46 (.352)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 3-13 (.188)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 8-19 (.296)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 0-7 (.000)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Utah Jazz hosted and defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 113-pts-96 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1375 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 5 record of 4-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 5 record of 0-4.

After Game 3: The Utah Jazz hosted and defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 115-pts-102 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1375 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 8-1 with an active eight-series winning streak and a Game 4 record of 7-2 with an active four-Game 4 winning streak. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 4-6 and a Game 4 record of 6-4. The Utah Jazz trailed series 1375 Game 3 by eight points after the first quarter, but rallied to defeat the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, home teams down eight points after one quarter had a game record of 25-42 (.373).

After Game 2: The Utah Jazz visited and topped the Oklahoma City Thunder 102-pts-95 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1375 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 5-4 and a Game 3 record of 3-6, while the Utah Jazz have a series record of 3-4 and a Game 3 record of 3-4. Utah trailed the Thunder in Oklahoma City by five points after three quarters of series 1375 Game 2, but prevailed. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games, road teams down by five points after three quarters had a game record of only 22-77 (.222) prior to the win by the Jazz.

After Game 1: The Oklahoma City Thunder hosted and defeated the Utah Jazz 116-pts-108 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1375 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 6-3 and a Game 2 record of 4-5 with an active four-Game 2 losing streak. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 2-15 and a Game 2 record of 2-15.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017-18 NBA regular season, the Oklahoma City Thunder finished zero games ahead of the Utah Jazz, but won home-court advantage through NBA tiebreaking procedures. From 1947 through the 2017 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by zero regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 12-10 (.545) for the team with home-court advantage in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1375 is the 18th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the 31st for the Utah Jazz. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have an all-rounds series record of 10-7, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-2, and a Game 1 record of 9-8, while the Utah Jazz have an all-rounds series record of 12-18, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-3, and a Game 1 record of 13-17. Series 1375 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Utah Jazz. .