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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2018 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1371.
Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Schedule and 2017-18 Results
Regular Season Records: Cleveland 50-32, Indiana 48-34
Game 1 on Sunday 15 April: Indiana wins at Cleveland, 98-pts-80
Game 2 on Wednesday 18 April: Indiana loses at Cleveland, 100-pts-97
Game 3 on Friday 20 April: Cleveland loses at Indiana, 92-pts-90
Game 4 on Sunday 22 April: Cleveland wins at Indiana, 104-pts-100
Game 5 on Wednesday 25 April: Indiana at Cleveland
Game 6 on Friday 27 April: Cleveland at Indiana
Game 7* on Sunday 29 April: Indiana at Cleveland
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 2-games-all @ HHVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 2-games-all with site order HHVV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 324-163 (.665)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 91-49 (.650)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 141-38 (.788)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 32-8 (.800)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 311-176 (.639)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 90-50 (.643)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 131-48 (.732)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 29-11 (.725)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied LWLW irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 82-85 (.491)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 23-18 (.561)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 28-42 (.400)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-3 (.625)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 76-91 (.455)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 22-19 (.537)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 27-43 (.386)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-3 (.625)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWLW @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LWLW with site order HHVV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 49-24 (.671)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 14-7 (.667)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 17-8 (.680)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-1 (.833)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 42-31 (.575)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 13-8 (.619)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 16-9 (.640)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-1 (.833)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Cleveland Cavaliers visited and defeated the Indiana Pacers 104-pts-100 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1371 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 6-6 and a Game 5 record of 7-5, while the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 5-10 and a Game 5 record of 5-10. In eleven of the twelve best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which they were tied 2-games-all after four games, the Cleveland Cavaliers Game 5 outcome presaged their series outcome (six series wins; six series losses).

After Game 3: The Indiana Pacers hosted and defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 92-pts-90 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1371 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 10-3 and a Game 4 record of 6-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 4-5 and a Game 4 record of 7-2. The Indiana Pacers trailed the visiting Cleveland Cavaliers in series 1371 Game 3 by 11 points after one quarter, and by 17 points at halftime, but won. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games, home teams trailing by 11 points after one quarter had a 10-23 (.303) game record. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games, home teams trailing by 17 points after one half had a 1-14 (.067) game record; series 1371 Game 3 is thus the Spring 2018 comeback of the season to date.

After Game 2: The Cleveland Cavaliers hosted and outscored the Indiana Pacers 100-pts-97 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1371 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 4-4 and a Game 3 record of 4-4, while the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 7-9 and a Game 3 record of 9-7.

After Game 1: The Indiana Pacers visited and outscored the Cleveland Cavaliers 98-pts-80 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1371 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 10-4 and a Game 2 record of 7-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 4-9 and a Game 2 record of 5-8. The 18-point victory in series 1371 Game 1 by the Indiana Pacers is the largest best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round Game 1 victory by a road team since series 1078, in which the Houston Rockets defeated the Trailblazers in Portland 108-pts-81 in Game 1 of their 2009 NBA Preliminary-round series. The series 1371 Game 1 loss by the Cleveland Cavaliers breaks a 14-game best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round winning streak by the Cleveland Cavaliers (beginning with series 1104 Game 4 in the 2010 NBA Preliminary round against the Chicago Bulls), and is the first best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round Game 1 loss by the Cleveland Cavaliers (who had been 8-0 in best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round Game 1s).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017-18 NBA regular season, the Cleveland Cavaliers finished two games ahead of the Indiana Pacers. From 1947 through the 2017 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by two regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-13 (.606) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1371 is the 31st best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the 30th for the Indiana Pacers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Cleveland Cavaliers have an all-rounds series record of 20-10, a Preliminary-round series record of 8-0, and a Game 1 record of 17-13, while the Indiana Pacers have an all-rounds series record of 14-15, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-5, and a Game 1 record of 14-15. Series 1371 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Indiana Pacers. Cleveland defeated Indiana in their only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, in the 2017 NBA Preliminary round.