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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2018 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1369.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Schedule and 2017-18 Results
Regular Season Records: Boston 55-27, Milwaukee 44-38
Game 1 on Sunday 15 April: Milwaukee loses at Boston, 113-pts-107 (OT)
Game 2 on Tuesday 17 April: Milwaukee loses at Boston, 120-pts-106
Game 3 on Friday 20 April: Boston loses at Milwaukee, 116-pts-92
Game 4 on Sunday 22 April: Boston loses at Milwaukee, 104-pts-102
Game 5 on Tuesday 24 April: Milwaukee loses at Boston, 92-pts-87
Game 6 on Thursday 26 April: Boston at Milwaukee
Game 7* on Saturday 28 April: Milwaukee at Boston
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 625-158 (.798)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 178-44 (.802)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 251-45 (.848)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 55-9 (.859)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 431-352 (.550)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 133-89 (.599)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 168-128 (.568)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 41-23 (.641)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ HHVVH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVH (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 324-58 (.848)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 107-21 (.836)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 146-13 (.918)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 34-2 (.944)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 203-179 (.531)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 76-52 (.594)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 86-73 (.541)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 24-12 (.667)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWLLW irrespective of site order (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 108-14 (.885)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 27-3 (.900)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 53-4 (.930)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 11-1 (.917)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 78-44 (.639)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 23-7 (.767)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 34-23 (.596)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-3 (.750)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLLW @ HHVVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WWLLW with site order HHVVH (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 93-13 (.877)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 26-3 (.897)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 48-4 (.923)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 11-1 (.917)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 66-40 (.623)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 22-7 (.759)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 31-21 (.596)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-3 (.750)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Boston Celtics hosted and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 92-pts-87 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1369 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 38-3 and a Game 6 record of 21-20. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 1-11 with an active four-series losing streak and a Game 6 record of 6-6. The sole Milwaukee series victory upon trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2 occurred in series 839, in which the Bucks defeated the Charlotte Hornets (I) 4-games-3 in the 2001 NBA Quarterfinals.

After Game 4: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 104-pts-102 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1369 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 31-12 and a Game 5 record of 31-12, while the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 3-9 with an active four-series losing streak and a Game 5 record of 4-8.

After Game 3: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 116-pts-92 to reduce the Boston Celtics best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1369 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 41-3 with an active nine-series winning streak and a Game 4 record of 18-26. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 1-11 with an active five-series losing streak and a Game 4 record of 6-6.

After Game 2: The Boston Celtics hosted and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 120-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1369 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 35-0 and a Game 3 record of 13-22. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 0-13 and a Game 3 record of 6-7.

After Game 1: The Boston Celtics hosted and bested the Milwaukee Bucks 113-pts-107 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1369 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 53-5 with an active nine-series winning streak and a Game 2 record of 35-23. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 3-19 with an active ten-series losing streak and a Game 2 record of 9-13 with an active four-Game 2 losing streak.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017-18 NBA regular season, the Boston Celtics finished eleven games ahead of the Milwaukee Bucks. From 1947 through the 2017 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eleven regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 24-5 (.828) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1369 is the 91st best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Boston Celtics, and the 34th for the Milwaukee Bucks. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 64-26, a Preliminary-round series record of 7-5, and a Game 1 record of 58-32, while the Milwaukee Bucks have an all-rounds series record of 11-22 with an active eight-series losing streak, a Preliminary-round series record of 0-7, and a Game 1 record of 11-22. Series 1369 is the sixth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston has won four of the previous five best-of-7 NBA playoff series between the two teams. The last best-of-7 NBA playoff series between the two teams was in the 1987 NBA Quarterfinals.