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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

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BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2017 NHL Semifinals round - Series 1333.
Nashville Predators vs Anaheim Ducks

Schedule and 2016-17 Results
Regular Season Records: Anaheim 46-23-13=105pts, Nashville 41-29-12=94pts
Game 1 on Friday, 12 May: Nashville wins at Anaheim, 3-goals-2 (OT)
Game 2 on Sunday, 14 May: Nashville loses at Anaheim, 5-goals-3
Game 3 on Tuesday, 16 May: Anaheim loses at Nashville, 2-goals-1
Game 4 on Thursday, 18 May: Anaheim wins at Nashville, 3-goals-2 (OT)
Game 5 on Saturday, 20 May: Nashville wins at Anaheim, 3-goals-1
Game 6 on Monday, 22 May: Anaheim at Nashville, 8:00pmEDT
Game 7* on Wednesday, 24 May: Nashville at Anaheim, 9:00pmEDT
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 621-157 (.798)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 153-40 (.793)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 300-82 (.785)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 64-15 (.810)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 429-349 (.551)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 111-82 (.575)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 214-168 (.560)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 46-33 (.582)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1343 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ VVHHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order VVHHV (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 183-59 (.756)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 44-16 (.733)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 117-35 (.770)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 28-8 (.778)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 149-93 (.616)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 39-21 (.650)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 93-59 (.612)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 24-12 (.667)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1343 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWLW irrespective of site order (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 67-23 (.744)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 16-5 (.762)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 25-13 (.658)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 5-3 (.625)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 43-47 (.478)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 9-12 (.429)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 18-20 (.474)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 3-5 (.375)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1343 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWLW @ VVHHV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWLW with site order VVHHV (Nashville) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 16-7 (.696)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 3-2 (.600)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 10-5 (.667)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 1-1 (.500)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 12-11 (.522)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 3-2 (.600)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 8-7 (.533)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 1-1 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1343 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Nashville Predators visited and defeated the Anaheim Ducks 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1333 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 6 record of 2-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 6 record of 1-2. Nashville trailed in Anaheim by a goal as late as 19:18 into the second period of series 1333 Game 5, but prevailed. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2016, inclusive, road teams trailing by a goal as late as 19:18 into the second period had a game record of only 154-595 (.206).

After Game 4: The Anaheim Ducks visited and topped the Nashville Predators 3-goals-2 in overtime to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1333 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 3-6 and a Game 5 record of 7-2 with an active six-Game 5 winning streak (and a four-series streak of winning Game 5 and then losing Game 6), while the Nashville Predators have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 5 record of 1-5. The sole Nashville Predators best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 5 victory in the wake of a 2-games-all tie occurred in series 1129, over the Anaheim Ducks in the 2011 NHL Preliminary round (Nashville would win that series in six games).

After Game 3: The Nashville Predators hosted and outscored the Anaheim Ducks 2-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1333 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 4-1 with an active four-series winning streak and a Game 4 record of 2-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 4 record of 4-2 with an active four-Game 4 winning streak. Nashville has now opened a best-of-7 NHL playoff series with a win/site order of WLW @ VVH for the fourth time. In the previous three such series, their series record was 2-1.

After Game 2: The Anaheim Ducks hosted and defeated the Nashville Predators 5-goals-3 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1333 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 2-4 with an active four-series losing streak and a Game 3 record of 4-2, while the Nashville Predators have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 3 record of 4-4. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series, home teams such as the Anaheim Ducks in series 1333 which lose Game 1 by a goal but win Game 2 by two goals have a series record of 13-9 (.591).

After Game 1: The Nashville Predators visited and defeated the Anaheim Ducks 3-goals-2 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1333 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 5-2 with an active five-series winning streak and a Game 2 record of 2-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 2-5 and a Game 2 record of 3-4. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series since 1939, inclusive, road teams winning Game 1 by a 3-goals-2 score (such as the Nashville Predators) had a series record of 19-19 (11-8 when the third and winning road goal is scored in overtime, as was the case in series 1333 Game 1). In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series since 1939, inclusive, road teams winning Game 1 by a single goal had a series record of 73-49.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2016-17 NHL regular season, the Anaheim Ducks finished eleven points ahead of the Nashville Predators. From 1939 through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eleven regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 12-11 (.522) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1333 is the 18th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Anaheim Ducks, and the 15th for the Nashville Predators. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Anaheim Ducks have an all-rounds series record of 10-7, a Semifinals-round series record of 1-1, and a Game 1 record of 10-7, while the Nashville Predators have an all-rounds series record of 5-9, a Semifinals-round series record of 0-0, and a Game 1 record of 7-7. Series 1333 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Anaheim Ducks and the Nashville Predators. Nashville defeated the Anaheim Ducks in each of their two previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series (in series 1129, in the 2011 NHL Preliminary round; in series 1293, in the 2016 NHL Preliminary round).