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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2017 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1321.
Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators

Schedule and 2016-17 Results
Regular Season Records: Ottawa 44-28-10=98pts, Boston 44-31-7=95pts
Game 1 on Wednesday, 12 April: Boston wins at Ottawa, 2-goals-1
Game 2 on Saturday, 15 April: Boston loses at Ottawa, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 3 on Monday, 17 April: Ottawa wins at Boston, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 4 on Wednesday, 19 April: Ottawa wins at Boston, 1-goal-nil
Game 5 on Friday, 21 April: Boston wins at Ottawa, 3-goals-2 (2OT)
Game 6 on Sunday, 23 April: Ottawa wins at Boston, 3-goals-2 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Ottawa Senators visited and defeated the Boston Bruins 3-goals-2 in overtime to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1321 victory. With the series 1321 win, the Ottawa Senators improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 10-15 overall and 7-9 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1321 loss, the Boston Bruins see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 48-49 overall and 12-11 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Ottawa Senators in series 1321 was LWWWLW: Series 1321 thus becomes the seventh NHL Preliminary-round series, the 22nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 50th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1321 loss is the 49th MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series loss by the Boston Bruins, which is the most among MLB/NBA/NHL entities. Most best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff game losses through the 2017 NHL Preliminary round: Detroit Red Wings, 267 losses; Montreal Canadiens, 267 losses; Boston Bruins, 266 losses.

After Game 5: The Boston Bruins visited and defeated the Ottawa Senators 3-goals-2 in double overtime to reduce the Ottawa Senators best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1321 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 2-3 and a Game 6 record of 2-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 3-19 and a Game 6 record of 10-12. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2 (as they now do in series 1321 against the Boston Bruins), the Ottawa Senators' series fate has been reliably determined by Game 6: Upon winning Game 6 (as Ottawa has twice done in this situation), they win the series by definition; upon losing Game 6 (as Ottawa has thrice done), they also lose Game 7 and the series. Boston trailed series 1321 Game 5 in Ottawa by two goals as late as 8:39 into the second period, and by a goal as late as 17:04 into the second period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2016, inclusive, road teams down two goals as late as 8:39 into the second period had a game record of only 52-386 (.119), and road teams down a goal as late as 17:04 into the second period had a game record of only 160-608 (.208).

After Game 4: The Ottawa Senators visited and shut out the Boston Bruins 1-goal-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1321 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 5 record of 7-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 0-22 and a Game 5 record of 6-16.

After Game 3: The Ottawa Senators visited and defeated the Boston Bruins 4-goals-3 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1321 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 8-1 with an active six-series winning streak and a Game 4 record of 7-2 with an active four-Game 4 winning streak. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 8-23 and a Game 4 record of 16-15.

After Game 2: The Ottawa Senators hosted and defeated the Boston Bruins 4-goals-3 in overtime to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1321 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 8-6 and a Game 3 record of 9-5, while the Boston Bruins have a series record of 23-15 and a Game 3 record of 20-18. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Game 3 outcome for the Ottawa Senators was the same as the series outcome in 13 of 14 such series. Ottawa trailed series 1321 Game 2 at home by two goals as late as 5:27 into the third period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2016, inclusive, home teams down two goals as late as 5:27 into the third period had a game record of only 20-350 (.054).

After Game 1: The Boston Bruins visited and defeated the Ottawa Senators 2-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1321 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 34-14 and a Game 2 record of 30-18. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 2-11 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 4-9. Boston trailed by a goal on the road as late as 4:54 into the third period but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series games from 1939 through 2016, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 4:54 into the third period had only a 137-599 (.186) game record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2016-17 NHL regular season, the Ottawa Senators finished three points ahead of the Boston Bruins. From 1939 through the 2016 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 12-21 (.364) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1321 is the 25th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Ottawa Senators, and the 97th for the Boston Bruins. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Ottawa Senators have an all-rounds series record of 9-15, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-9, and a Game 1 record of 11-13, while the Boston Bruins have an all-rounds series record of 48-48, a Preliminary-round series record of 12-10, and a Game 1 record of 48-48. Series 1321 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Ottawa Senators and the Boston Bruins.