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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2017 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1342.
Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Clippers

Schedule and 2016-17 Results
Regular Season Records: Los Angeles Clippers 51-31, Utah 51-31
Game 1 on Saturday, 15 April: Utah wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 97-pts-95
Game 2 on Tuesday, 18 April: Utah loses at Los Angeles Clippers, 99-pts-91
Game 3 on Friday, 21 April: Los Angeles Clippers win at Utah, 111-pts-106
Game 4 on Sunday, 23 April: Los Angeles Clippers lose at Utah, 105-pts-98
Game 5 on Tuesday, 25 April: Utah at Los Angeles Clippers
Game 6 on Friday, 28 April: Los Angeles Clippers at Utah
Game 7* on Sunday, 30 April: Utah at Los Angeles Clippers
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 2-games-all @ HHVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 2-games-all with site order HHVV (Clippers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 311-159 (.662)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 85-47 (.644)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 135-37 (.785)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 28-7 (.800)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 299-171 (.636)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 84-48 (.636)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 125-47 (.727)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 25-10 (.714)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1319 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied LWWL irrespective of site order (Clippers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 77-65 (.542)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 24-18 (.571)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 25-21 (.543)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 7-5 (.583)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 73-69 (.514)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 24-18 (.571)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 30-16 (.652)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-3 (.750)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1319 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWWL @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LWWL with site order HHVV (Clippers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 42-21 (.667)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 16-8 (.667)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 18-4 (.818)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 6-1 (.857)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 38-25 (.603)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 15-9 (.625)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 19-3 (.864)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 6-1 (.857)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1319 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Utah Jazz hosted and topped the Los Angeles Clippers 105-pts-98 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1342 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 5 record of 1-5, while the Utah Jazz have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 5 record of 1-5. Tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, both the Los Angeles Clippers and the Utah Jazz 1) have a 2-4 series record, 2) lost the first two, the fourth, and the sixth of such series while winning the third and fifth of such series, 3) have a 1-5 Game 5 record, and 4) lost the first two and the last three Game 5s while winning the third Game 5 - a remarkable congruence in performance by the two teams when knotted 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series.

After Game 3: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and bested the Utah Jazz 111-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1342 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 4 record of 3-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 1-13 and a Game 4 record of 4-10. The sole Utah Jazz best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory in the wake of a 2-games-1 deficit occurred in series 1012, in which the Jazz defeated the Houston Rockets in the 2007 NBA Preliminary round. In series 1342 Game 3, the visiting Los Angeles Clippers trailed the host Utah Jazz by 13 points after one quarter, and by nine points at halftime. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series since 1947, inclusive, road teams trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff game by 13 points after one quarter had a game record of 10-44 (.185). In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series since 1947, inclusive, road teams trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff game by nine points at halftime had a game record of 10-84 (.106).

After Game 2: The Los Angeles Clippers hosted and bested the Utah Jazz 99-pts-91 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1342 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 3 record of 3-3, while the Utah Jazz have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 3 record of 3-3.

After Game 1: The Utah Jazz visited and defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 97-pts-95 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1342 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 9-3 and a Game 2 record of 8-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 2 record of 2-1. Series 1342 Game 1 ends the Los Angeles Clippers' Game 1 winning streak at four, and ends the Jazz' Game 1 losing streak at five.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2016-17 NBA regular season, the Los Angeles Clippers finished zero games ahead of the Utah Jazz. From 1947 through the 2016 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by zero regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 11-9 (.550) for the team winning the tiebreaker and securing home-court advantage in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1342 is the 11th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Los Angeles Clippers, and the 29th for the Utah Jazz. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers have an all-rounds series record of 4-6, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-2, and a Game 1 record of 7-3 with an active four-Game 1 winning streak, while the Utah Jazz have an all-rounds series record of 11-17, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-3, and a Game 1 record of 12-16 with an active five-Game 1 losing streak.