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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Game 1 played at home
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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2017 MLB Finals round - Series 1352.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Schedule and 2017 Results
Regular Season Records: Los Angeles Dodgers 104-58, Houston 101-61
Game 1 on Tuesday, 24 October: Houston loses at Los Angeles Dodgers, 3-runs-1
Game 2 on Wednesday, 25 October: Houston wins at Los Angeles Dodgers, 7-runs-6 (11 innings)
Game 3 on Friday, 27 October: Los Angeles Dodgers lose at Houston, 5-runs-3
Game 4 on Saturday, 28 October: Los Angeles Dodgers win at Houston, 6-runs-2
Game 5 on Sunday, 29 October: Los Angeles Dodgers lose at Houston, 13-runs-12 (10 innings)
Game 6 on Tuesday, 31 October: Houston loses at Los Angeles Dodgers, 3-runs-1
Game 7 on Wednesday, 01 November: Houston wins at Los Angeles Dodgers, 5-runs-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Houston Astros visited and bested the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-runs-1 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 victory. With the series 1352 win, the Houston Astros improve their best-of-7 MLB playoff series record to 3-3 overall and 1-1 in the Finals round. With the series 1352 loss, the Los Angeles Dodgers see their best-of-7 MLB playoff series record fall to 7-10 overall and 5-5 in the Finals round. The win order for the victorious Houston Astros in series 1352 was LWWLWLW: Series 1352 thus becomes the third MLB Finals-round series, the fifth MLB series (all rounds), and the 30th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The 68 total combined runs scored by the Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Dodgers in series 1352 are the most total combined runs in a best-of-7 MLB playoff series (any round) since series 1154, in which the St. Louis Cardinals and the Texas Rangers also combined for 68 total runs in the 2011 MLB Finals. The sum of the victory margins in the seven games of series 1352 is 16 runs, which is the smallest such sum in a best-of-7 MLB Finals lasting the full seven games since series 306, in which the Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox notched a sum of victory margins of 15 runs in the 1975 MLB Finals. Both the Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Dodgers scored 34 total runs in series 1352, making series 1352 only the fourth best-of-7 MLB playoff series in which each team scored the same number of total runs (and the first since series 1319, in which the Chicago Cubs and the Cleveland Indians each scored 27 total runs in the 2016 MLB Finals). The five-run lead by the visiting Houston Astros after 1.5 innings of series 1352 Game 7 was the largest visitor lead after 1.5 innings of a best-of-7 MLB playoff Game 7 since series 936, in which the Boston Red Sox led the Yankees in New York 6-runs-nil in 2004 American League Championship Series Game 7 en route to a 10-runs-3 Game 7 victory and a 4-games-3 comeback from a 3-games-nil series deficit.

After Game 6: The Los Angeles Dodgers hosted and defeated the Houston Astros 3-runs-1 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a Game 7 record of 2-0, while the Houston Astros have a Game 7 record of 1-1. The Dodgers have a 1-0 Game 7 record at home in Los Angeles, having defeated the New York Mets in series 524 Game 7, in the 1988 National League Championship Series. The one previous Houston Astros Game 7 on the road was a series 937 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals, to conclude the 2004 National League Championship Series. In series 1352 Game 6, the Dodgers trailed Houston by a run after five full innings: In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, home teams trailing by one run after five innings had a game record of 49-91 (.350). Overall, in Game 7s of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, home teams (such as Los Angeles) have a 30-24 (.556) record, while home teams with better regular-season records (such as Los Angeles) have a 17-15 (.531) record. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams which post a win order of WLLWLW through six games irrespective of site (such as the Los Angeles Dodgers) have a 0-4 Game 7 record.

After Game 5: The Houston Astros hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 13-runs-12 in 10 innings to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Houston Astros have a series record of 1-1 and a Game 6 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 0-5 and a Game 6 record of 0-5. Leading a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2, historically speaking: When the Houston Astros win Game 6, they win the series (eg. over the St. Louis Cardinals in series 955, the 2005 National League Championship Series), and when they lose Game 6, they lose the series (eg. to the St. Louis Cardinals in series 937, the 2004 National League Championship Series). Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an MLB/NBA/NHL-worst 0-5 Game 6 record and a 0-5 series record (the NBA Chicago Bulls and Philadelphia 76ers own an MLB/NBA/NHL-worst 0-13 best-of-7 playoff series record upon trailing 3-games-2). The Los Angeles Dodgers and their predecessor entity, the Brooklyn Dodgers, have a combined 0-8 series record upon trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2. The 25 total runs tallied by the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers in series 1352 Game 5 tie series 747 Game 3 (in which the old Florida Marlins defeated the Indians in Cleveland 14-runs-11 in their 1997 World Series Game 3) for the third-most total runs scored in a best-of-7 MLB playoff game (next only to series 936 Game 3, in which the New York Yankees visited and defeated the Boston Red Sox 19-runs-8 in the 2004 American League Championship Series, and to series 650 Game 4, in which the Toronto Blue Jays visited and defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 15-runs-14 in the 1993 World Series). Series 1352 Game 5 is the highest-scoring (in terms of total runs, 25) best-of-7 MLB playoff game ever won by a home team. The Astros trailed the Dodgers in Houston 4-runs-nil after 3.5 innings of series 1352 Game 5. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff games, home teams down four runs after 3.5 innings had only a 5-26 (.161) game record. One of those five home-team comebacks from their four-run deficit after 3.5 innings was by the New York Mets, over the visiting Houston Astros in series 474 Game 3 (in the 1986 National League Championship Series). The Astros trailed the Dodgers in Houston 7-runs-4 after 4.5 innings of series 1352 Game 5. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff games, home teams down three runs after 4.5 innings had only a 15-49 (.234) game record. One of those 15 home-team comebacks from their three-run deficit after 4.5 innings was by the New York Yankees, over the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers in series 351 Game 4 (in the 1978 World Series).

After Game 4: The Los Angeles Dodgers visited and bested the Houston Astros 6-runs-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 5 record of 3-3, while the Houston Astros have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 5 record of 1-2. In six previous best-of-7 MLB playoff series have the Los Angeles Dodgers been tied 2-games-all after four games: In each case, when the Dodgers won Game 5, they won the series (three times), and when the Dodgers lost Game 5, they lost the series (three times). The five-run ninth inning by the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers in series 1352 Game 4 is the largest top of the ninth in a best-of-7 MLB Finals game since series 822, in which the New York Mets plated five runs in the top of the ninth inning (against the Yankees in the Bronx in 2000 World Series Game 2).

After Game 3: The Houston Astros hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-runs-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Houston Astros have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 4 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 4 record of 3-5. The last best-of-7 MLB playoff series to open with a win/site order of LWW @ VVH (as posted by the leading Houston Astros in series 1352) was series 1318, in which the Los Angeles Dodgers posted a win/site order of LWW @ VVH against the Chicago Cubs through three games of the 2016 National League Championship Series (in which the Cubs won Games 4-6 to win the series). So it is that the 2016 Chicago Cubs set a favorable precedent for the 2017 Los Angeles Dodgers through their performance against the 2016 Los Angeles Dodgers. In eight previous best-of-7 MLB playoff series have the Los Angeles Dodgers trailed 2-games-1 after three games: In each case, when the Dodgers won Game 4, they won the series (three times), and when the Dodgers lost Game 4, they lost the series (five times).

After Game 2: The Houston Astros visited and bested the Los Angeles Dodgers 7-runs-6 in 11 innings to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 3 record of 2-4, while the Houston Astros have a series record of 1-1 and a Game 3 record of 1-1. Houston trailed series 1352 Game 2 in Los Angeles by two runs after 6.5 innings. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, road teams down two runs after 6.5 innings had an 11-90 (.109) game record. Houston trailed series 1352 Game 2 in Los Angeles by one run after 7.5 innings. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, road teams down one run after 7.5 innings had a 10-99 (.092) game record. For the first time in six tries, the Los Angeles Dodgers failed to win Game 2 of a best-of-7 MLB playoff series after having won Game 1. Series 1352 Game 2 is the first in the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff games in which runs were scored in each and every extra half-inning of a game lasting 11 innings or longer.

After Game 1: The Los Angeles Dodgers hosted and defeated the Houston Astros 3-runs-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1352 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 3-2 and a Game 2 record of 5-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Houston Astros have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 2 record of 1-2. Home teams (such as the Dodgers in Los Angeles) which win Game 1 have won 14 of the last 15 MLB Finals. The sole series loss sustained by the home team Game 1 winner in those last 15 MLB Finals was series 1319, in which the Indians in Cleveland won Game 1 but lost the 2017 World Series to the Chicago Cubs.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017 MLB regular season, the Los Angeles Dodgers finished three games ahead of the Houston Astros. From 1905 through the 2017 MLB Semifinals round, when MLB teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 5-4 (.556) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1352 is the 17th best-of-7 MLB playoff series for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and the sixth for the Houston Astros. In best-of-7 MLB playoff series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an all-rounds series record of 7-9, a Finals-round series record of 5-4, and a Game 1 record of 5-11, while the Houston Astros have an all-rounds series record of 2-3, a Finals-round series record of 0-1, and a Game 1 record of 2-3. Series 1352 is the first best-of-7 MLB playoff series meeting between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Houston Astros. The Houston Astros in series 1352 are seeking their first best-of-7 MLB Finals game victory, having been swept in their only previous best-of-7 MLB Finals appearance (in series 956, by the Chicago White Sox in the 2005 MLB Finals).