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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2016 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1289.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals

Schedule and 2015-16 Results
Regular Season Records: Washington 56-18-8=120pts, Philadelphia 41-27-14=96pts
Game 1 on Thursday, 14 April: Philadelphia loses at Washington, 2-goals-nil
Game 2 on Saturday, 16 April: Philadelphia loses at Washington, 4-goals-1
Game 3 on Monday, 18 April: Washington wins at Philadelphia, 6-goals-1
Game 4 on Wednesday, 20 April: Washington loses at Philadelphia, 2-goals-1
Game 5 on Friday, 22 April: Philadelphia wins at Washington, 2-goals-nil
Game 6 on Sunday, 24 April: Washington wins at Philadelphia, 1-goal-nil

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Washington Capitals visited and shut out the Philadelphia Flyers 1-goal-nil to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1289 victory. With the series 1289 win, the Washington Capitals improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 13-23 overall and 10-12 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1289 loss, the Philadelphia Flyers see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 38-32 with an active three-series losing streak overall and 12-9 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Washington Capitals in series 1289 was WWWLLW: Series 1289 thus becomes the fifth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 13th NHL series (all rounds), and the 25th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The six total goals in six games by the Philadelphia Flyers in series 1289 tie the Toronto Maple Leafs in series 860 (vs the Carolina Hurricanes in the 2002 NHL Semifinals) for the fewest goals by one team in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series (any round) lasting six games.

After Game 5: The Philadelphia Flyers visited and shut out the Washington Capitals 2-goals-nil to reduce the Washington Capitals best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1289 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Washington Capitals have a series record of 7-6 and a Game 6 record of 5-8 (with an active five-Game 6 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Philadelphia Flyers have a series record of 3-15 and a Game 6 record of 8-10.

After Game 4: The Philadelphia Flyers hosted and bested the Washington Capitals 2-goals-1 to reduce the Washington Capitals best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1289 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Washington Capitals have a series record of 6-5 and a Game 5 record of 3-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Philadelphia Flyers have a series record of 1-15 and a Game 5 record of 8-8. The five losses sustained by the Washington Capitals upon having led a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-1 are an MLB/NBA/NHL-high; next are the four losses by the MLB St. Louis Cardinals in that situation.

After Game 3: The Washington Capitals visited and topped the Philadelphia Flyers 6-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1289 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Washington Capitals have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0 (i.e., the Capitals have converted a 2-games-nil lead into a 3-games-nil lead for the first time in eight tries in best-of-7 NHL playoff series). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Philadelphia Flyers have a series record of 1-7 and a Game 4 record of 2-6. The Philadelphia Flyers' rally from a 3-games-nil deficit occurred in series 1098, in which they defeated the Boston Bruins 4-games-3 in the 2010 NHL Quarterfinals. Philadelphia becomes the 336th MLB/NBA/NHL team to face a 3-games-nil deficit in a best-of-7 format playoff series, and hopes to become the sixth team to win in this situation (and the first to win twice).

After Game 2: The Washington Capitals hosted and bested the Philadelphia Flyers 4-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1289 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Washington Capitals have a series record of 2-5 and a Game 3 record of 0-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Philadelphia Flyers have a series record of 3-14 and a Game 3 record of 9-8. Philadelphia has yet to hold a lead in series 1289 against Washington.

After Game 1: The Washington Capitals hosted and shut out the Philadelphia Flyers 2-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1289 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Washington Capitals have a series record of 5-15 and a Game 2 record of 7-13. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Philadelphia Flyers have a series record of 15-22 and a Game 2 record of 20-17.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2015-16 NHL regular season, the Washington Capitals finished 24 points ahead of the Philadelphia Flyers. From 1939 through the 2015 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 24 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 8-4 (.667) with an active three-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1289 is the 36th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Washington Capitals, and the 70th for the Philadelphia Flyers. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Washington Capitals have an all-rounds series record of 12-23, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-12, and a Game 1 record of 20-15, while the Philadelphia Flyers have an all-rounds series record of 38-31, a Preliminary-round series record of 12-8, and a Game 1 record of 32-37. Series 1289 is the fourth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Washington Capitals and the Philadelphia Flyers. Washington defeated Philadelphia in their first best-of-7 format match-up (in series 504, in the 1988 Preliminary round), but Philadelphia prevailed over Washington in series 528 (in the 1989 Preliminary round) and in series 1025 (in the 2008 Preliminary round). With a dozen best-of-7 format NHL Preliminary-round losses, the Washington Capitals are tied with the St. Louis Blues for the most NHL/NBA Preliminary-round series losses.