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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2016 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1313.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

Schedule and 2015-16 Results
Regular Season Records: San Antonio 67-15, Oklahoma City 55-27
Game 1 on Saturday, 30 April: Oklahoma City loses at San Antonio, 124-pts-92
Game 2 on Monday, 02 May: Oklahoma City wins at San Antonio, 98-pts-97
Game 3 on Friday, 06 May: San Antonio wins at Oklahoma City, 100-pts-96
Game 4 on Sunday, 08 May: San Antonio loses at Oklahoma City, 111-pts-97
Game 5 on Tuesday, 10 May: Oklahoma City wins at San Antonio, 95-pts-91
Game 6 on Thursday, 12 May: San Antonio loses at Oklahoma City, 113-pts-99

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Oklahoma City Thunder hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 113-pts-99 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1313 victory. With the series 1313 win, the Oklahoma City Thunder improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 10-5 overall and 4-1 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1313 loss, the San Antonio Spurs see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 35-22 overall and 13-11 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Oklahoma City Thunder in series 1313 was LWLWWW: Series 1313 thus becomes the eighth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 14th NBA series (all rounds), and the 35th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Oklahoma City held a 24-point lead over San Antonio at halftime of series 1313 Game 6, which is the largest halftime lead ever in a best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals Game 6.

After Game 5: The Oklahoma City Thunder visited and bested the San Antonio Spurs 95-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1313 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 4-0 and a Game 6 record of 3-1 (with an active three-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 1-11 and a Game 6 record of 4-8. The Oklahoma City Thunder trailed series 1313 Game 5 on the road by five points at halftime. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, road teams down five points after two quarters had a game record of 25-87 (.223). The sole San Antonio Spurs best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory in the wake of a 3-games-2 deficit occurred in series 1049, in the 2008 NBA Quarterfinals against the old New Orleans Hornets.

After Game 4: The Oklahoma City Thunder hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 111-pts-97 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1313 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 11-8 and a Game 5 record of 12-7 (with an active five-Game 5 winning streak), while the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 2-4 (with the two victories sandwiching the four losses) and a Game 5 record of 3-3. The Oklahoma City Thunder trailed series 1313 Game 4 at home by ten points after the first quarter. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, home teams down ten points after one quarter had a game record of 14-27 (.341).

After Game 3: The San Antonio Spurs visited and bested the Oklahoma City Thunder 100-pts-96 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1313 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 19-5 and a Game 4 record of 11-13. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 4 record of 5-3. The last NBA team to face a win/site order of LWL @ VVH in a best-of-7 playoff series (as the Oklahoma City Thunder do in series 1313) but win the series was the Dallas Mavericks in series 1151 (over the Miami Heat, in the 2011 NBA Finals to take the 2011 NBA championship).

After Game 2: The Oklahoma City Thunder visited and vanquished the San Antonio Spurs 98-pts-97 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1313 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 11-11 and a Game 3 record of 13-9, while the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 4-3 (with an active three-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 2-5. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series, teams such as the San Antonio Spurs which post a WL @ HH win/site order and lose Game 2 by one point have a 6-1 series record (with an active six-series winning streak) and a 6-1 Game 3 record (with an active six-Game 3 winning streak); the latest of those six winners was, ironically, the Oklahoma City Thunder - over the Dallas Mavericks in series 1308 in the 2016 NBA Preliminary round.

After Game 1: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and topped the Oklahoma City Thunder 124-pts-92 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1313 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 29-6 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 25-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 2 record of 3-3. San Antonio scored 43 points in the first quarter of series 1313 Game 1 - the most points in the first quarter of a best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals game since series 899 Game 2, in which the Dallas Mavericks scored 44 points against the visiting Sacramento Kings in the first quarter of their 2003 NBA Quarterfinals series. San Antonio led Oklahoma City 73-pts-40 at halftime in series 1313 Game 1 - the third-largest halftime lead ever in a best-of-7 NBA playoff game (behind only the 36-point halftime lead by the Milwaukee Bucks in Philadelphia over the 76ers in series 224 [1970 NBA Quarterfinals] Game 3, and the 34-point halftime lead by the Milwaukee Bucks over the visiting San Francisco Warriors in series 241 [1971 NBA Quarterfinals] Game 5 and by the San Antonio Spurs over the visiting Sacramento Kings in series 976 [2006 NBA Preliminary round] Game 1).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2015-16 NBA regular season, the San Antonio Spurs finished twelve games ahead of the Oklahoma City Thunder. From 1947 through the 2016 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by twelve regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 15-4 (.789) with an active three-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1313 is the 57th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the San Antonio Spurs, and the 15th for the Oklahoma City Thunder. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the San Antonio Spurs have an all-rounds series record of 35-21, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 13-10 (with an active three-series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 35-21, while the Oklahoma City Thunder have an all-rounds series record of 9-5, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 3-1, and a Game 1 record of 8-6. Series 1313 is the third best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the San Antonio Spurs and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Oklahoma City defeated San Antonio in series 1183, in the 2012 NBA Semifinals; San Antonio defeated Oklahoma City in series 1249, in the 2014 NBA Semifinals.