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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2016 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1311.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Schedule and 2015-16 Results
Regular Season Records: Toronto 56-26, Miami 48-34
Game 1 on Tuesday, 03 May: Miami wins at Toronto, 102-pts-96 (OT)
Game 2 on Thursday, 05 May: Miami loses at Toronto, 96-pts-92 (OT)
Game 3 on Saturday, 07 May: Toronto wins at Miami, 95-pts-91
Game 4 on Monday, 09 May: Toronto loses at Miami, 94-pts-87 (OT)
Game 5 on Wednesday, 11 May: Miami loses at Toronto, 99-pts-91
Game 6 on Friday, 13 May: Toronto loses at Miami, 103-pts-91
Game 7 on Sunday, 15 May: Miami loses at Toronto, 116-pts-89

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Toronto Raptors hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 116-pts-89 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 victory. With the series 1311 win, the Toronto Raptors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 2-5 overall and 1-1 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1311 loss, the Miami Heat see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 23-10 overall and 7-3 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Toronto Raptors in series 1311 was LWWLWLW: Series 1311 thus becomes the ninth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 13th NBA series (all rounds), and the 29th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Series 1311 is the second consecutive best-of-7 NBA playoff series won by the Toronto Raptors via a LWWLWLW win order. The series 1311 loss breaks a six-series Quarterfinals-round winning streak for the Miami Heat. The 27-point Game 7 margin of victory is the largest best-of-7 NBA Game 7 margin of victory in the Quarterfinals round since series 617, in which the Chicago Bulls hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 110-pts-81 in their 1992 NBA Quarterfinals Game 7. The 27-point Game 7 margin of victory is the largest best-of-7 NBA Game 7 margin of victory in any round since series 1304, in which the Miami Heat (ironically) hosted and defeated the Charlotte Bobcats (II) 106-pts-73 in their 2016 NBA Preliminary-round Game 7.

After Game 6: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the Toronto Raptors 103-pts-91 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have a Game 7 record of 1-2, while the Miami Heat have a Game 7 record of 6-3. The Miami Heat have a road-court Game 7 record of 0-1. The Toronto Raptors have a home-court Game 7 record of 1-1.

After Game 5: The Toronto Raptors hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 99-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 1-1 and a Game 6 record of 0-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Miami Heat have a series record of 4-3 (with an active three-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 5-2 (with an active three-Game 6 winning streak).

After Game 4: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the Toronto Raptors 94-pts-87 in overtime to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 5 record of 2-1, while the Miami Heat have a series record of 8-5 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-6.

After Game 3: The Toronto Raptors visited and defeated the Miami Heat 95-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 1-1 and a Game 4 record of 0-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 4-2 and a Game 4 record of 4-2.

After Game 2: The Toronto Raptors hosted and bested the Miami Heat 96-pts-92 in overtime to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 10-5 and a Game 3 record of 11-4, while the Miami Heat have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 3 record of 2-2.

After Game 1: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Toronto Raptors 102-pts-96 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1311 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 15-2 (with an active eight-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 12-5 (with an active three-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 1-4 and a Game 2 record of 3-2. With the series 1311 Game 1 loss, the Toronto Raptors see their best-of-7 format NBA playoff Game 1 losing streak extended to six Game 1s.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2015-16 NBA regular season, the Toronto Raptors finished eight games ahead of the Miami Heat. From 1947 through the 2016 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eight regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-6 (.786) with an active three-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1311 is the seventh best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Toronto Raptors, and the 33rd for the Miami Heat. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have an all-rounds series record of 1-5, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 0-1, and a Game 1 record of 1-5 (with an active five-Game 1 losing streak), while the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 23-9, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 7-2 (with an active six-series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 17-15. Series 1311 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat.