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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2016 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1304.
Charlotte Hornets (II) vs Miami Heat

Schedule and 2015-16 Results
Regular Season Records: Miami 48-34, Charlotte (II) 48-34
Game 1 on Sunday, 17 April: Charlotte (II) loses at Miami, 123-pts-91
Game 2 on Wednesday, 20 April: Charlotte (II) loses at Miami, 115-pts-103
Game 3 on Saturday, 23 April: Miami loses at Charlotte (II), 96-pts-80
Game 4 on Monday, 25 April: Miami loses at Charlotte (II), 89-pts-85
Game 5 on Wednesday, 27 April: Charlotte (II) wins at Miami, 90-pts-88
Game 6 on Friday, 29 April: Miami wins at Charlotte (II), 97-pts-90
Game 7 on Sunday, 01 May: Charlotte (II) loses at Miami, 106-pts-73

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the Charlotte Hornets (II) 106-pts-73 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1304 victory. With the series 1304 win, the Miami Heat improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 23-9 overall and 8-3 (with an active five-series winning streak) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1304 loss, the Charlotte Hornets (II) see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 0-1 overall and 0-1 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Miami Heat in series 1304 was WWLLLWW: Series 1304 thus becomes the second NBA Preliminary-round series, the tenth NBA series (all rounds), and the 23rd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Miami Heat were also the last NBA team to prevail in any playoff round through this WWLLLWW win order, doing so in series 1182 (in the 2012 NBA Semifinals, over the Boston Celtics). The 33-point victory margin by Miami over Charlotte is the fifth-largest best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 7 margin ever (all rounds), the third-largest best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round Game 7 margin ever, and the largest since series 1038 (in which the Boston Celtics hosted and bested the Atlanta Hawks 99-pts-65 in their 2008 NBA Preliminary-round Game 7 en route to the 2008 NBA championship).

After Game 6: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Charlotte Hornets (II) 97-pts-90 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1304 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Miami Heat have a Game 7 record of 5-3, while the Charlotte Hornets (II) have a Game 7 record of 0-0. The Charlotte Hornets (II) are playing their first Game 7 as this particular entity. The Miami Heat have a home-court Game 7 record of 5-2.

After Game 5: The Charlotte Hornets (II) visited and defeated the Miami Heat 90-pts-88 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1304 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Charlotte Hornets (II) have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 6 record of 0-0 i.e., there is no precedent in this situation for the Charlotte Hornets (II). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Miami Heat have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 6 record of 4-2. The visiting Charlotte Hornets (II) trailed the Heat in Miami by six points after three quarters. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, road teams down six points after three quarters had a game record of only 11-82 (.118).

After Game 4: The Charlotte Hornets (II) hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 89-pts-85 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1304 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Miami Heat have a series record of 7-5 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-5, while the Charlotte Hornets (II) have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 5 record of 0-0. The Hornets trailed Miami in Charlotte by seven points after one quarter of series 1304 Game 4. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, home teams down seven points after one quarter had a game record of 32-33 (.492).

After Game 3: The Charlotte Hornets (II) hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 96-pts-80 to reduce the Miami Heat best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1304 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 12-4 with an active six-series winning streak and a Game 4 record of 8-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Charlotte Hornets (II) have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0. The series 1304 Game 3 victory is the first best-of-7 format NBA playoff game victory ever for the Charlotte Hornets (II). Their precursor entity, the Charlotte Bobcats, was 0-8 in best-of-7 format NBA playoff games. The Charlotte Hornets (I) were 6-16 in best-of-7 NBA playoff games, having won their last such game in series 863 (Game 3 of the 2002 NBA Quarterfinals, which they lost 4-games-1).

After Game 2: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the Charlotte Hornets (II) 115-pts-103 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1304 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 11-0 and a Game 3 record of 6-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Charlotte Hornets (II) have a series record of 0-2 (as the precursor Charlotte Bobcats) and a Game 3 record of 0-2 (as the precursor Charlotte Bobcats).

After Game 1: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the Charlotte Hornets (II) 123-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1304 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 14-2 (with an active seven-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 11-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Charlotte Hornets (II) have a series record of 0-2 (as the precursor Charlotte Bobcats) and a Game 2 record of 0-2 (as the precursor Charlotte Bobcats). Miami scored 41 points in the first quarter of series 1304 Game 1 - the second-most first-quarter points ever by one team in a best-of-7 format NBA Preliminary-round Game 1 (next only to series 1040 Game 1, in which the Orlando Magic hosted and scored 43 first-quarter points against the Toronto Raptors in the 2008 NBA Preliminary round).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2015-16 NBA regular season, the Miami Heat finished tied with the Charlotte Hornets (II). From 1947 through the 2015 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by zero regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 9-9 (.500) for the team that won the tiebreaker and is playing Game 1 at home in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1304 is the 32nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Miami Heat, and the first (in this incarnation) for the Charlotte Hornets (II). In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 22-9, a Preliminary-round series record of 7-3 (with an active four-series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 16-15, while the Charlotte Hornets (II) have an all-rounds series record of 0-2 (as the old Charlotte Bobcats), a Preliminary-round series record of 0-2 (as the old Charlotte Bobcats), and a Game 1 record of 0-2 (as the old Charlotte Bobcats). Series 1304 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Miami Heat and the Charlotte Hornets (II). Miami defeated the old Charlotte Bobcats in the 2014 NBA Preliminary round.