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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2015 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1272.
Washington Wizards vs. Toronto Raptors

Schedule and 2014-15 Results
Regular Season Records: Toronto 49-33, Washington 46-36
Game 1 on Saturday, 18 April: Washington wins at Toronto, 93-pts-86 (OT)
Game 2 on Tuesday, 21 April: Washington wins at Toronto, 117-pts-106
Game 3 on Friday, 24 April: Toronto loses at Washington, 106-pts-99
Game 4 on Sunday, 26 April: Toronto loses at Washington, 125-pts-94

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Washington Wizards hosted and defeated the Toronto Raptors 125-pts-94 to complete a 4-games-nil best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1272 victory. With the series 1272 win, the Washington Wizards improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 3-5 overall and 3-3 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1272 loss, the Toronto Raptors see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 0-5 overall and 0-4 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Washington Wizards in series 1272 was WWWW: Series 1272 thus becomes the 21st NBA Preliminary-round series, the 69th NBA series (all rounds), and the 209th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 3: The Washington Wizards hosted and bested the Toronto Raptors 106-pts-99 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1272 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Washington Wizards have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0. So it is that the Washington Wizards (up 3-games-nil) and the Toronto Raptors (down 3-games-nil) find themselves in those respective situations for the first times in their respective franchise histories. The Washington Wizards lead series 1272 three-games-nil with a site order of VVH: Series 1272 is only the 13th best-of-7 NBA playoff series (all rounds) in which a team has taken a three-games-nil lead with Games 1 and 2 on the road and Game 3 at home. Series 1272 is the first best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round series to follow this win/site order, and the first in any NBA playoff round since series 1148, when the Dallas Mavericks achieved the feat against the Los Angeles Lakers in the 2011 NBA Quarterfinals.

After Game 2: The Washington Wizards visited and defeated the Toronto Raptors 117-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1272 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Washington Wizards have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 3 record of 0-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 3 record of 1-0. Thus for only the 22nd time in best-of-7 format NBA playoff history has a team opened a series with a win/site order of WW @ VV; ironically, the Washington Wizards also did so in the 2014 NBA Preliminary round (in series 1239, against the Chicago Bulls).

After Game 1: The Washington Wizards visited and defeated the Toronto Raptors 93-pts-86 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1272 lead of 1-game-nil.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2014-15 NBA regular season, the Toronto Raptors finished three games ahead of the Washington Wizards. From 1947 through the 2014 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 16-15 (.516) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1272 is the fifth best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Toronto Raptors, and the eighth for the Washington Wizards. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Toronto Raptors have an all-rounds series record of 0-4, a Preliminary-round series record of 0-3, and a Game 1 record of 1-3, while the Washington Wizards have an all-rounds series record of 2-5, a Preliminary-round series record of 2-3, and a Game 1 record of 2-5. Series 1272 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Toronto Raptors and the Washington Wizards.