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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2014 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1226.
Chicago Blackhawks vs St. Louis Blues

Schedule and 2013-14 Results
Regular Season Records: St. Louis 52-23-7=111pts, Chicago 46-21-15=107pts
Game 1 on Thursday, 17 April: Chicago loses at St. Louis, 4-goals-3 (3OT)
Game 2 on Saturday, 19 April: Chicago loses at St. Louis, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 3 on Monday, 21 April: St. Louis loses at Chicago, 2-goals-nil
Game 4 on Wednesday, 23 April: St. Louis loses at Chicago, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 5 on Friday, 25 April: Chicago wins at St. Louis, 3-goals-2 (OT)
Game 6 on Sunday, 27 April: St. Louis loses at Chicago, 5-goals-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and bested the St. Louis Blues 5-goals-1 for a 4-games-2 win of best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1226. With their series 1226 win, the Chicago Blackhawks improve their overall best-of-7 NHL playoff series to 37-40, and their Preliminary-round series record to 9-9. With their series 1226 loss, the St. Louis Blues see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 20-33 overall and 11-11 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Chicago Blackhawks in series 1226 was LLWWWW: Series 1226 thus becomes the tenth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 22nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 35th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Chicago Blackhawks visited and topped the St. Louis Blues 3-goals-2 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1226 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 18-3 (with an active 13-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 14-7 (with an active six-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 3-16 and a Game 6 record of 9-10.

After Game 4: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and outscored the St. Louis Blues 4-goals-3 in overtime to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1226 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 6-12 and a Game 5 record of 6-12, while the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 15-16 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 17-14 (with an active five-Game 5 winning streak). Chicago trailed at home by one goal as late as 16:07 into the third period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2013, inclusive, home teams down a goal 16:07 into the third period had a game record of 51-447 (.102).

After Game 3: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and bested the St. Louis Blues 2-goals-nil to reduce the St. Louis Blues best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1226 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 8-8 and a Game 4 record of 6-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 11-17 and a Game 4 record of 19-9.

After Game 2: The St. Louis Blues hosted and topped the Chicago Blackhawks 4-goals-3 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1226 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 10-1 (the sole loss was in their last such series – series 1195 against the defending NHL champion Los Angeles Kings in the 2013 NHL Preliminary round) and a Game 3 record of 7-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 4-27 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 15-16. St. Louis tied the game with seven seconds left in regulation before winning it in overtime: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2013, inclusive, home teams trailing by one goal with eight seconds left in regulation had a game record of only 2-368 (.005). The Blues thus join the Vancouver Canucks (at home against the Minnesota Wild in series 884 Game 1, in the 2003 NHL Quarterfinals) and the Carolina Hurricanes (at home against the New Jersey Devils in series 966 Game 2, in the 2006 NHL Quarterfinals) as the only home teams to emerge victorious from such dire circumstances.

After Game 1: The St. Louis Blues hosted and defeated the Chicago Blackhawks 4-goals-3 in the third overtime period to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1226 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 16-10 and a Game 2 record of 11-15. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 14-32 and a Game 2 record of 15-31. St. Louis trailed at home by a goal as late as 18:14 into the third period, and won the game on a goal 0:26 into the third overtime period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2013, inclusive, home teams down a goal as late as 18:14 into the third period had a game record of only 33-446 (.069). In that same history, home teams tied as late as 25 seconds into the third overtime period had a game record of 13-25 (.342). On ten previous occasions has a home team won a best-of-7 NHL playoff game in the third overtime period: Twice did the winner win its next game; six times did it lose; on two of those ten occasions did the winning goal in triple-overtime win the series.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2013-14 NHL regular season, St. Louis finished four points ahead of Chicago. From 1939 through the 2013 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season points, they have posted a 10-11 (.476) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1226 is the 77th best-of-7 playoff series for Chicago, and the 53rd for St. Louis. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, Chicago has a 36-40 series record, an 8-9 Preliminary-round series record, and a 30-46 Game 1 record, while St. Louis has a 20-32 series record, an 11-10 Preliminary-round series record, and a 26-26 Game 1 record. Series 1226 is the ninth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between Chicago and St. Louis: Chicago won five of the previous eight series between the two teams.