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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2014 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1225.
Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2013-14 Results
Regular Season Records: Colorado 52-22-8=112pts, Minnesota 43-27-12=98pts
Game 1 on Thursday, 17 April: Minnesota loses at Colorado, 5-goals-4 (OT)
Game 2 on Saturday, 19 April: Minnesota loses at Colorado, 4-goals-2
Game 3 on Monday, 21 April: Colorado loses at Minnesota, 1-goal-nil (OT)
Game 4 on Thursday, 24 April: Colorado loses at Minnesota, 2-goals-1
Game 5 on Saturday, 26 April: Minnesota loses at Colorado, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 6 on Monday, 28 April: Colorado loses at Minnesota, 5-goals-2
Game 7 on Wednesday, 30 April: Minnesota wins at Colorado, 5-goals-4 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Minnesota Wild visited and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-4 in overtime to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1225 victory. With the series 1225 win, the Minnesota Wild improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 3-4 overall and 2-3 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1225 loss, the Colorado Avalanche see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 19-11 overall and 9-4 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Minnesota Wild in series 1225 was LLWWLWW: Series 1225 thus becomes the second NHL Preliminary-round series, the ninth NHL series (all rounds), and the 14th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Minnesota trailed in Game 7 by a goal as late as 17:32 into the third period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games, 1939-2013 inclusive, road teams down a goal 17:32 into the third period had a game record of only 28-568 (.047).

After Game 6: The Minnesota Wild hosted and topped the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1225 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have a Game 7 record of 4-5, while the Minnesota Wild have a Game 7 record of 2-0.

After Game 5: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and topped the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-3 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1225 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 9-4 and a Game 6 record of 7-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 2-1 and a Game 6 record of 2-1. Colorado trailed Minnesota at home by one goal as late as 18:45 into the third period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2013, inclusive, home teams down a goal as late as 18:45 into the third period had a game record of 26-445 (.055).

After Game 4: The Minnesota Wild hosted and bested the Colorado Avalanche 2-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1225 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 8-4 and a Game 5 record of 8-4, while the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 5 record of 0-1.

After Game 3: The Minnesota Wild hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 1-goal-nil in overtime to drop the Colorado Avalanche best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1225 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 11-4 and a Game 4 record of 9-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 2-1 and a Game 4 record of 0-3. Series 1225 Game 3 ended at 5:08 into the first overtime period on a Minnesota goal. Series 1225 Game 3 thus becomes the 19th best-of-7 NHL playoff game won 1-goal-nil in overtime by the home team; it most closely mirrors series 917 Game 4, in which the Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the San Jose Sharks 1-goal-nil on a goal 5:15 into the first overtime period, in their 2004 NHL Quarterfinals series.

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and topped the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1225 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 12-0 and a Game 3 record of 4-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 3 record of 1-2. Up 2-games-nil in a best-of-7 format NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have a perfect 12-0 series record. In the NHL, only the Philadelphia Flyers (18-0) and the Edmonton Oilers (14-0) have better series records in that situation. At the other end of the scale, the old Quebec Nordiques (the precursor franchise to the Colorado Avalanche, ironically) have an MLB/NBA/NHL-worst 0-2 series record upon having led a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil.

After Game 1: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Minnesota Wild 5-goals-4 in the first overtime period to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1225 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 15-4 and a Game 2 record of 12-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 1-4 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 2-3. Colorado trailed at home by two goals as late as 7:12 into the third period, and by a goal as late as 19:45 into the third period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2013, inclusive, home teams down by two goals as late as 7:12 into the third period had a game record of only 16-320 (.048). In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games during that same span, home teams down a goal with only fifteen seconds left in regulation had a game record of only 7-380 (.018).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2013-14 NHL regular season, Colorado finished 14 points ahead of Minnesota. From 1939 through the 2013 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 14 regular-season points, they have posted a 12-9 (.571) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1225 is the seventh best-of-7 playoff series for Minnesota, and the 30th for Colorado. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, Minnesota has a 2-4 series record, a 1-3 Preliminary-round series record, and a 1-5 Game 1 record, while Colorado has a 19-10 series record, a 9-3 Preliminary-round series record, and a 19-10 Game 1 record. Series 1225 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between Minnesota and Colorado: The teams split their previous two best-of-7 NHL playoff series meetings.