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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2014 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1246.
Portland Trailblazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Schedule and 2013-14 Results
Regular Season Records: San Antonio 62-20, Portland 54-28
Game 1 on Tuesday, 06 May: Portland loses at San Antonio, 116-pts-92
Game 2 on Thursday, 08 May: Portland loses at San Antonio, 114-pts-97
Game 3 on Saturday, 10 May: San Antonio wins at Portland, 118-pts-103
Game 4 on Monday, 12 May: San Antonio loses at Portland, 103-pts-92
Game 5 on Wednesday, 14 May: Portland loses at San Antonio, 104-pts-82

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and bested the Portland Trailblazers 104-pts-82 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1246 victory. With the series 1246 win, the San Antonio Spurs improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 32-20 overall and 13-10 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1246 loss, the Portland Trailblazers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 11-13 overall and 6-4 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious San Antonio Spurs in series 1246 was WWWLW: Series 1246 thus becomes the 16th NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 32nd NBA series (all rounds), and the 82nd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The sum of the victory margins in the five series 1246 games was 89 points the highest such total for an NBA best-of-7 playoff series lasting five games since series 1076, in which the sum of the victory margins in that 2009 NBA Preliminary-round series between the victorious Denver Nuggets and the vanquished New Orleans Hornets was an NBA-largest 125 points in that category.

After Game 4: The Portland Trailblazers hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 103-pts-92 to drop the San Antonio Spurs best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1246 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 13-1 (with an active 12-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 9-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Portland Trailblazers have a series record of 0-8 and a Game 5 record of 5-3 (with an active four-Game 5 winning streak).

After Game 3: The San Antonio Spurs visited and defeated the Portland Trailblazers 118-pts-103 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1246 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 12-0 and a Game 4 record of 8-4 (with an active four-Game 4 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Portland Trailblazers have a series record of 0-4 (but took the last such series series 894 against the Dallas Mavericks in the 2003 Preliminary round to seven games) and a Game 4 record of 3-1. Series 1246 is only the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which a team won Games 1-3 by 15+ points each; the second of the three previous such series was series 816, in which the Portland Trailblazers accomplished this feat against the Utah Jazz in the 2000 NBA Quarterfinals (the last best-of-7 NBA playoff series won by Portland prior to the 2014 NBA Preliminary round).

After Game 2: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Portland Trailblazers 114-pts-97 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1246 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 20-2 and a Game 3 record of 12-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Portland Trailblazers have a series record of 1-5 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 2-4. San Antonio scored 41 points in the second quarter of series 1246 Game 2 the most in the second quarter of a best-of-7 format NBA Quarterfinals-round game since series 980, in which the Detroit Pistons notched 43 second-quarter points at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 1 of their 2006 series.

After Game 1: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Portland Trailblazers 116-pts-92 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1246 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 25-6 and a Game 2 record of 22-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Portland Trailblazers have a series record of 2-11 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 7-6.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2013-14 NBA regular season, the San Antonio Spurs finished eight games ahead of the Portland Trailblazers. From 1947 through the 2014 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eight regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-6 (.769) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1246 is the 52nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the San Antonio Spurs, and the 24th for the Portland Trailblazers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the San Antonio Spurs have an all-rounds series record of 31-20, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 12-10, and a Game 1 record of 31-20 (with an active eight-Game 1 winning streak), while the Portland Trailblazers have an all-rounds series record of 11-12, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 6-3 (with an active five-Quarterfinals series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 10-13. Series 1246 is the third best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the San Antonio Spurs and the Portland Trailblazers. Portland defeated San Antonio in series 568 (in the 1990 NBA Quarterfinals); San Antonio returned the favor in series 793 (in the 1999 NBA Semifinals).