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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2013 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1198.
Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks

Schedule and 2012-13 Results
Regular Season Records: Chicago 36-7-5=77pts, Detroit 24-16-8=56pts
Game 1 on Wednesday, 15 May: Detroit loses at Chicago, 4-goals-1
Game 2 on Saturday, 18 May: Detroit wins at Chicago, 4-goals-1
Game 3 on Monday, 20 May: Chicago loses at Detroit, 3-goals-1
Game 4 on Thursday, 23 May: Chicago loses at Detroit, 2-goals-nil
Game 5 on Saturday, 25 May: Detroit loses at Chicago, 4-goals-1
Game 6 on Monday, 27 May: Chicago wins at Detroit, 4-goals-3
Game 7 on Wednesday, 29 May: Detroit loses at Chicago, 2-goals-1 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and defeated the Detroit Red Wings 2-goals-1 in the first overtime period to achieve a 4-goals-3 win of MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198. With the series 1198 win, the Chicago Blackhawks improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 34-40 overall and 16-6 in the Quarterfinals round (with an active three-series winning streak). With the series 1198 loss, the Detroit Red Wings see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 55-42 overall and 10-9 in the Quarterfinals round (with an active three-series losing streak). The win order for the victorious Chicago Blackhawks in series 1198 was WLLLWWW: Series 1198 thus becomes the first NHL Quarterfinals series, the seventh NHL series (all rounds), and the 13th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Chicago Blackhawks improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 1-11 upon having trailed 3-games-1; the Detroit Red Wings see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series winning streak halted at eleven series when leading 3-games-1.

After Game 6: The Chicago Blackhawks visited and defeated the Detroit Red Wings 4-goals-3 to force MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198 to a seventh game. The Chicago Blackhawks have a Game 7 record of 5-5 overall and 4-2 at home (with an active three-Game 7 winning streak). The Detroit Red Wings have a Game 7 record of 14-9 overall and 3-4 on the road. The fourteen Detroit Game 7 victories is an NHL-high (the Montreal Canadiens are second with thirteen).

After Game 5: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and defeated the Detroit Red Wings 4-goals-1 to reduce the Detroit MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Detroit Red Wings have a 24-5 series record and an 18-11 Game 6 record (with an active three-Game 6 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 1-16 series record (with an active 13-series losing streak) and a 3-14 Game 6 record. The sole Chicago series win in that situation occurred in series 166, in which the Blackhawks defeated the Detroit Red Wings in their 1965 NHL Semifinals series.

After Game 4: The Detroit Red Wings hosted and shut out the Chicago Blackhawks 2-goals-nil to take a 3-games-1 lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198. When leading 3-games-1 in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Detroit Red Wings have a 17-2 series record (with an active eleven-series winning streak) and a 9-10 Game 5 record. When trailing 3-games-1 in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 0-11 series record and a 3-8 Game 5 record. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series, teams winning Game 4 by shutout to take a 3-games-1 lead (such as Detroit) have a 37-0 series record.

After Game 3: The Detroit Red Wings hosted and defeated the Chicago Blackhawks 3-goals-1 to take a 2-games-1 lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198. When leading 2-games-1 in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Detroit Red Wings have a 24-10 series record and a 14-20 Game 4 record. When trailing 2-games-1 in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 9-17 series record and a 18-8 Game 4 record. When posting a win/site order of LWW @ VVH through the first three games of a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Detroit Red Wings have a 3-1 series record; when posting a win/site order of WLL @ HHV through the first three games of a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 1-2 series record. In series 160, the Detroit Red Wings lost Game 1 but won Game 2 in Chicago, and then won Game 3 against the Blackhawks in Detroit the Red Wings went on to win that 1964 NHL Semifinals series in seven games.

After Game 2: The Detroit Red Wings visited and defeated the Chicago Blackhawks 4-goals-1 to tie MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 15-11 series record and a 15-11 Game 3 record, while the Detroit Red Wings have a 21-17 series record and a 17-21 Game 3 record (with an active four-Game 3 losing streak).

After Game 1: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and defeated the Detroit Red Wings 4-goals-1 to take a 1-game-nil lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 19-8 with an active four-series winning streak, and a Game 2 record of 16-11 with an active four-Game 2 winning streak. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Detroit Red Wings have a series record of 17-27, and a Game 2 record of 22-22. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series, home teams such as Chicago (and the Pittsburgh Penguins in series 1196) which win Game 1 by a 4-goals-1 score have a 25-7 (.781) series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2012-13 NHL regular season, the Chicago Blackhawks finished 21 points ahead of the Detroit Red Wings. From 1939 through the 2013 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 21 regular-season points, they have posted a 10-3 (.769) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1198 is the 97th best-of-7 playoff series for Detroit, and the 74th for Chicago. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, Detroit has a 55-41 series record, a 10-8 Quarterfinals-round series record, and a 52-44 Game 1 record (with an active three-Game 1 losing streak), while Chicago has a 33-40 series record, a 15-6 Quarterfinals-round series record, and a 27-46 Game 1 record. Series 1198 is the 13th best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between Detroit and Chicago; the Red Wings and the Blackhawks split the first dozen.