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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2013 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1195.
Los Angeles Kings vs St. Louis Blues

Schedule and 2012-13 Results
Regular Season Records: St. Louis 29-17-2=60pts, Los Angeles 27-16-5=59pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 30 April: Los Angeles loses at St. Louis, 2-goals-1 (OT)
Game 2 on Thursday, 02 May: Los Angeles loses at St. Louis, 2-goals-1
Game 3 on Saturday, 04 May: St. Louis loses at Los Angeles, 1-goal-nil
Game 4 on Monday, 06 May: St. Louis loses at Los Angeles, 4-goals-3
Game 5 on Wednesday, 08 May: Los Angeles wins at St. Louis, 3-goals-2 (OT)
Game 6 on Friday, 10 May: St. Louis loses at Los Angeles, 2-goals-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: Scoring the winning goal with less than a second left in the second period, the Los Angeles Kings hosted and topped the St. Louis Blues 2-goals-1 for a 4-games-2 win of MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195. With the series 1195 win, the Los Angeles Kings improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 13-19 overall (with an active five-series winning streak) and 7-8 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1195 loss, the St. Louis Blues see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 20-32 overall and 11-10 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Los Angeles Kings in series 1195 was LLWWWW: Series 1195 thus becomes the ninth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 21st NHL series (all rounds), and the 34th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The sum of the victory margins in the six games of series 1195 was six goals each game was decided by a single goal. Series 1195 thus sets a record for the smallest sum of victory margins in a best-of-7 NHL series lasting six games: The previous such record was seven goals, set in the 1990 Preliminary round by the Washington Capitals and New Jersey Devils, and tied in the 2001 Preliminary round by the Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers and in the 2011 Quarterfinals by the Vancouver Canucks and Nashville Predators. It is a record that can never be broken . . . only tied. In best-of-7 NHL playoff game history, only once before had the final and game-winning goal been tallied with but a second left in the second period: In series 483 Game 2, the visiting Winnipeg Jets did so in Calgary against the Flames to win that 1987 NHL Preliminary-round game 3-goals-2; series 483 would go on to become the only best-of-7 NHL playoff series ever won by the original Winnipeg Jets.

After Game 5: The Los Angeles Kings visited and defeated the St. Louis Blues 3-goals-2 at eight minutes into the first overtime period to take a 3-games-2 lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Kings have a 6-1 series record (with an active six-series winning streak) and a 6-1 Game 6 record (with an active six-Game 6 winning streak) when the Kings win Game 6, they win the series; when they lose Game 6, they lose the series. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the St. Louis Blues have a 3-15 series record and a 9-9 Game 6 record. Series 1195 Game 5 is only the second best-of-7 format NHL playoff game to end exactly eight minutes into the first overtime period; the first was series 1190 Game 2, in which the Washington Capitals hosted and defeated the New York Rangers just four days ago.

After Game 4: The Los Angeles Kings hosted and defeated the St. Louis Blues 4-goals-3, tying MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195 at 2-games-all. When tied in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-all, the St. Louis Blues have a 6-11 series record and a 6-11 Game 5 record, while the Los Angeles Kings have a 6-4 series record and a 5-5 Game 5 record. The Los Angeles Kings on home ice trailed by two goals as late as 9:32 into the first period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2012, inclusive, home teams trailing by two goals as late as 9:32 into the first period had a game record of 19-87 (.179).

After Game 3: The Los Angeles Kings hosted and defeated the St. Louis Blues 1-goal-nil, thereby cutting the Blues MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the St. Louis Blues have an 8-7 series record and a 6-9 Game 4 record (with an active three-Game 4 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Kings have a 5-9 series record (with an active three-series losing streak) and a 5-9 Game 4 record (with an active three-Game 4 losing streak).

After Game 2: The St. Louis Blues hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Kings 2-goals-1 to take a 2-games-nil lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 10-0 and a Game 3 record of 7-3 (with an active five-Game 3 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 1-9 and a Game 3 record of 3-7. St. Louis trailed on home ice by a goal as late as 3:43 into the third period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2012, inclusive, home teams down a goal as late as 3:43 into the third period had a 132-407 (.245) game record.

After Game 1: The St. Louis Blues hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Kings 2-goals-1 in the first overtime period to take a 1-game-nil lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 16-9 and a Game 2 record of 10-15. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 5-14 (with an active three-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 9-10. The St. Louis Blues thus win Game 1 of a best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the first time since series 880, against the Vancouver Canucks in the 2003 NHL Preliminary-round: In that series, St. Louis would take a 3-games-1 lead, but lose the series 4-games-3.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2012-13 NHL regular season, St. Louis finished one point ahead of Los Angeles. From 1939 through the 2012 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by one regular-season point, they have posted a 12-4 (.750) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1195 is the 32nd best-of-7 playoff series for Los Angeles, and the 52nd for St. Louis. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, Los Angeles has a 12-19 series record (with the active four-series winning streak common to defending champions), a 6-8 Preliminary-round series record, and a 12-19 Game 1 record (with an active four-Game 1 winning streak), while St. Louis has a 20-31 series record, a 11-9 Preliminary-round series record, and a 25-26 Game 1 record. Series 1195 is the fourth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between Los Angeles and St. Louis; St. Louis won the first two while Los Angeles won the last.