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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
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Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2006 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 967.
Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks

Schedule and 2005-06 Results
Regular Season Records: San Jose 44-27-11=99pts, Edmonton 41-28-13=95pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 07 May: Edmonton loses at San Jose, 2-goals-1
Game 2 on Monday, 08 May: Edmonton loses at San Jose, 2-goals-1
Game 3 on Wednesday, 10 May: San Jose loses at Edmonton, 3-goals-2 (3OT)
Game 4 on Friday, 12 May: San Jose loses at Edmonton, 6-goals-3
Game 5 on Sunday, 14 May: Edmonton wins at San Jose, 6-goals-3
Game 6 on Wednesday, 17 May: San Jose loses at Edmonton, 2-goals-nil

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Edmonton Oilers hosted and defeated the San Jose Sharks 2-goals-nil to win best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 967, 4-games-2. The series 967 victory improves the Edmonton Oilers series record to 28-12; the series 967 loss drops the San Jose Sharks series record to 7-9. The series 967 win order for the victorious Edmonton Oilers was LLWWWW. Series 967 thus becomes the seventh NHL Quarterfinals series, the 20th NHL series (all rounds), and the 29th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow this LLWWWW win order.

After Game 5: Posting the first road victory in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 967, the Edmonton Oilers visited and defeated the San Jose Sharks 6-goals-3 to take a 3-games-2 series 967 lead. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Edmonton Oilers have a 10-1 series record with a seven-series winning streak. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the San Jose Sharks have a 1-4 series record with a four-series losing streak.

After Game 4: Surmounting deficits of 2-goals-nil and 3-goals-1, the Edmonton Oilers hosted and defeated the San Jose Sharks 6-goals-3 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 967 at 2-games-all. Tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 2-6 with a five-series losing streak, while the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 5-3. It is noteworthy that the Edmonton Oilers defeated the San Jose Sharks by three goals in series 967 Game 4. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series, teams losing fourth games by three goals to fall into 2-games-all series ties (such as San Jose) have a 22-16 series record. But the last NHL team to do so and lose the series was - in series 859 vs. the Colorado Avalanche in the 2002 NHL Quarterfinals - the San Jose Sharks.

After Game 3: It took 42 minutes 24 seconds of overtime play, but the Oilers in Edmonton hosted and defeated the San Jose Sharks 3-goals-2 to reduce the San Jose best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 967 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 5-2 with a two-series winning streak. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 3-7 with a three-series losing streak. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2004, home teams at 2:23 into the third overtime (i.e., one second before the Oilers scored in series 967 Game 3) had a game record of only 7-20 (.259).

After Game 2: The San Jose Sharks again hosted and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 2-games-1, thus taking a 2-games-nil lead in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 967. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the San Jose Sharks have a perfect 3-0 series record; when trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a perfect 0-6 series record. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2004, teams winning Games 1-2 by one goal each have a series record of 32-3 (.914) with a fifteen-series winning streak. The last team to win Games 1-2 by one goal each but lose the series was the Boston Bruins, which fell to the New Jersey Devils in series 660 (in the 1994 NHL Quarterfinals). The team to start the fifteen-series winning streak: The San Jose Sharks, with a series 678 defeat of the Calgary Flames in the 1995 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 1: The San Jose Sharks hosted and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 2-games-1 to take a 1-game-nil lead in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 967. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Jose Sharks have a 5-2 series record; when trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a 7-10 series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2005-06 regular season, San Jose finished four points ahead of Edmonton. From 1939 through the 2005-06 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season points, they have posted a 9-8 (.529) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 series 967 is the 40th best-of-7 playoff series for Edmonton, and the 16th for San Jose. In best-of-7 playoff series, Edmonton has a 27-12 series record, an 8-4 Quarterfinals-round series record, and a 22-17 Game 1 record, while San Jose has a 7-8 series record, a 1-4 Quarterfinals-round record, and a 7-8 Game 1 record. Series 967 is the first best-of-7 meeting between Edmonton and San Jose.