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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2004 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 915.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers

Schedule and 2004 Results
Regular Season Records: Philadelphia 40-21-15-6=101pts, Toronto 45-24-10-3=103pts
Game 1 on Thursday, 22 Apr: Toronto loses at Philadelphia, 3-goals-1
Game 2 on Sunday, 25 Apr: Toronto loses at Philadelphia, 2-goals-1
Game 3 on Wednesday, 28 Apr: Philadelphia loses at Toronto, 4-goals-1
Game 4 on Friday, 30 Apr: Philadelphia loses at Toronto, 3-goals-1
Game 5 on Sunday, 2 May: Toronto loses at Philadelphia, 7-goals-2
Game 6 on Tuesday, 4 May: Philadelphia wins at Toronto, 3-goals-2 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: Despite squandering a 2-goals-nil lead, the Philadelphia Flyers defeated the Maple Leafs in Toronto 3-goals-2 with a goal 7:39 into the first overtime period. Philadelphia thus wins MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 915, 4-games-2. The win improves Philadelphia's record in best-of-7 NHL playoff series to 31-23 (all rounds) and 14-7 (NHL Quarterfinals); the loss drops Toronto's record in such series to 35-38 (all rounds) and 5-13 (NHL Quarterfinals). The win order for series 915 was WWLLWW. Series 915 thus becomes the fifth NHL Quarterfinals series, the 28th NHL series (all rounds), and the 52nd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to show a win order of WWLLWW.

After Game 5: With best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 915 in Philadelphia for Game 5, the host Philadelphia Flyers posted the highest single-game score thus far in the 2004 NHL playoffs, defeating the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-goals-2 to take a 3-games-2 series lead. Thus far, the home team has won each game in this series. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series history, when one team opens the series with a win order of WWLLW (as the Flyers have) irrespective of site, it has an active 18-series winning streak. Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 15-2 overall series record and a 10-7 Game 6 record; trailing 3-games-2, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a 6-13 overall series record and a 10-9 Game 6 record.

After Game 4: In best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 915 Game 4, the Toronto Maple Leafs hosted and defeated the Philadelphia Flyers 3-goals-1 to knot series 915 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in an NHL best-of-7 playoff series, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a series record of 20-14 and a Game 5 record of 19-15, while the Philadelphia Flyers have a series record of 12-4 and a Game 5 record of 11-5.

After Game 3: With best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 915 now in Ontario province for Games 3-4, the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 capitalized upon home-ice advantage with a 4-goals-1 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Philadelphia series 915 lead is now 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 14-3 overall series record and an 11-6 Game 4 record; when trailing 2-games-1, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a 10-18 overall series record and a 17-11 Game 4 record. From the first best-of-7 NHL Quarterfinals-round series in 1968 through the 2003 NHL playoffs, when a team (such as Philadelphia) has a WWL win order and a HHV site order through three games of a best-of-7 NHL Quarterfinals-round series, its overall series record is 18-6 (with an active 11-series winning streak that began with the 1983 New York Islanders in series 413 vs. the New York Rangers).

After Game 2: The Philadelphia Flyers hosted and defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-goals-1, thereby taking a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 915 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading an NHL best-of-7 series 2-games-nil, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 15-0 series record and a 9-6 Game 3 record. When trailing an NHL best-of-7 series 2-games-nil, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a 4-15 overall series record and a 7-12 Game 3 record.

After Game 1: The Philadelphia Flyers hosted and defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-goals-1, thus taking a 1-game-nil in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 915. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 19-8 series record and a 15-12 Game 2 record; when trailing 1-game-nil, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a 16-24 series record and a 21-19 Game 2 record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2003-04 regular season, Toronto finished 2 points ahead of Philadelphia. From 1939 through the 2004 NHL Preliminary round, when an NHL team led its best-of-7 playoff series opponent by 2 regular-season points, it has gone on to post a 10-8 (.556) best-of-7 series record in that series against that opponent. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 series 915 is the 54th best-of-7 playoff series for Philadelphia and the 73rd for Toronto. In best-of-7 playoff series, Philadelphia has a 30-23 series record, a 13-7 Qtrs-round series record, and a 27-26 Game 1 record, while Toronto has a 35-37 record, a 5-12 Qtrs-round record, and a 32-40 Game 1 record. Series 915 is the sixth best-of-7 meeting between Philadelphia and Toronto; Philadelphia won four and lost one of the previous five series.