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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2001 NHL Semifinals round - Series 836.
St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2001 Results
Regular Season Records: Colorado 52-16-10-4=118pts, St. Louis 43-22-12-5=103pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 12 May: St. Louis loses at Colorado, 4-goals-1
Game 2 on Monday, 14 May: St. Louis loses at Colorado, 4-goals-2
Game 3 on Wednesday, 16 May: Colorado loses at St. Louis in 2OT, 4-goals-3
Game 4 on Friday, 18 May: Colorado wins at St. Louis in OT, 4-goals-3
Game 5 on Monday, 21 May: St. Louis loses at Colorado in OT, 2-goals-1

OVERALL SUBSTANCE: Colorado defeats St. Louis WWLWW.
The WWLWW win of series 836 by Colorado over St. Louis is the 6th in NHL Semis-round best-of-7 series, the 27th in NHL best-of-7 series (all rounds), and the 67th in NHL, NBA, or MLB best-of-7 series.

SERIES NOTES: Game 5: Colorado defeats St. Louis 2-goals-1 in OT to win series 836, 4-games-1; Colorado thus improves its best-of-7 Semis Game 5 record to 3-2 (2-0 at home), while St. Louis sees its best-of-7 Semis Game 5 record fall to 2-2 (0-2 on the road); the Colorado Avalanche in best-of-7 Semis series are now 2-3 (1-1 when Game 1 is at home), while the St. Louis Blues in best-of-7 Semis series are now 3-3 (0-3 when Game 1 is on the road); thus far in the 2001 NHL playoffs, Colorado sports a 12-4 game record, and in overall best-of-7 series play going back to 1996, Colorado has a 63-35 (.643) record, which pulls the Avalanche ahead of the New York MLB Yankees (138-81, .630) for the best best-of-7 game winning percentage in the NHL, NBA, or in MLB . . . Game 4: Colorado defeats St. Louis in OT, 4-goals-3, to take a 3-games-1 lead in series 836; series 836 is the first NHL best-of-7 series in which the winning team tallies four goals in each of the four games in a series going WWLW; Colorado improves its best-of-7 Semis Game 4 record to 3-2 (1-1 on the road), while St. Louis sees its best-of-7 Semis Game 4 record fall to 3-3 (2-2 at home); the most recent role model for a series win after an LLWL @ VVHH start (as St. Louis has had) is the Houston NBA Rockets in series 691 (vs. the Phoenix Suns in a 1995 NBA Qtrs series); the most recent NHL role model for a series win after an LLWL @ VVHH start is the Pittsburgh Penguins in series 604 (vs. the Washington Capitals in a 1992 NHL Prelim-round series); the most recent Semis-round role model for a series win after an LLWL @ VVHH start is the Kansas City MLB Royals in series 456 (vs. the Toronto Blue Jays in a 1985 MLB Semis series); should the St. Louis NHL Blues make the unlikely comeback to win series 836, it would mark a record third comeback from a 3-games-1 deficit by this franchise to win a best-of-7 series . . . Game 3: St. Louis defeats Colorado 4-goals-3 to reduce the Colorado series 836 lead to 2-games-1; Colorado led by one goal as late as 54:16 into regulation -- in 2369 best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2000, teams leading by one goal 54:16 into regulation had a 650-75 (.897) win-loss record; the last team to go LLW @ VVH through the first three games (as St. Louis has) but win the series is the Los Angeles NHL Kings in series 828 (a 2001 NHL Prelim-round series vs. Detroit); Colorado thus sees its best-of-7 Semis Game 3 record fall to 1-4 (0-2 on the road), while St. Louis improves its best-of-7 Semis Game 3 record to 2-4 (1-3 at home) . . . Game 2: Colorado hosts and defeats St. Louis 4-goals-2 to take a 2-games-nil series 836 lead; after this game, the best-of-7 Semis Game 2 records for Colorado and St. Louis become 2-3 (1-1 at home) and 2-4 (0-4 on the road, matching the 0-4 Detroit NBA Pistons for the worst best-of-7 Semis Game 2 NHL/NBA/MLB franchise record), respectively; in best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2000 (all rounds), teams winning Game 1 by one goal and Game 2 by two goals (as Colorado has in series 836) have a 22-7 (.759) playoff record (16-3 (.842) when Game 1 is at home) . . . Game 1: Colorado hosts and defeats St. Louis 4-goals-1 to take a 1-game-nil series 836 lead; by winning its best-of-7 Semis Game 1, Colorado improves its best-of-7 Semis Game 1 record to 5-0, which is now the best best-of-7 Semis Game 1 record among NHL/NBA/MLB franchises (now ahead of the Oakland MLB Athletics, which are 4-0); the best-of-7 Game 1 record of St. Louis falls to 4-2; in best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through the 2001 NHL Qtrs, teams winning Game 1 by three goals have a 53-27 series record . . . Pre-series: In best-of-7 Semis play, Colorado has a 12-14 games record entering 2001, while St. Louis has a 15-13 record; Colorado finished 15 regular-season points ahead of St. Louis -- in NHL best-of-7 series from 1939 through the 2001 Qtrs, the team finishing 15 regular-season points ahead of its playoff opponent sports a 15-4 (.789) series record.