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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2023.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
566-588 (.490) |
842-312 (.730) |
| all |
all |
H |
344-372 (.480) |
571-145 (.797) |
| all |
all |
V |
222-216 (.507) |
271-167 (.619) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
107-103 (.510) |
157-53 (.748) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
68-67 (.504) |
109-26 (.807) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
39-36 (.520) |
48-27 (.640) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
136-141 (.491) |
213-64 (.769) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
77-88 (.467) |
133-32 (.806) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
59-53 (.527) |
80-32 (.714) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
153-172 (.471) |
239-86 (.735) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
95-111 (.461) |
168-38 (.816) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
58-61 (.487) |
71-48 (.597) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
170-172 (.497) |
233-109 (.681) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
104-106 (.495) |
161-49 (.767) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
66-66 (.500) |
72-60 (.545) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
84-67 (.556) |
106-45 (.702) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
46-35 (.568) |
61-20 (.753) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
38-32 (.543) |
45-25 (.643) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
45-46 (.495) |
62-29 (.681) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
23-26 (.469) |
35-14 (.714) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
22-20 (.524) |
27-15 (.643) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
39-21 (.650) |
44-16 (.733) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
23-9 (.719) |
26-6 (.813) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
16-12 (.571) |
18-10 (.643) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
222-230 (.491) |
356-96 (.788) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
139-168 (.453) |
266-41 (.866) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
83-62 (.572) |
90-55 (.621) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
32-31 (.508) |
50-13 (.794) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
23-22 (.511) |
38-7 (.844) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-9 (.500) |
12-6 (.667) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
45-55 (.450) |
78-22 (.780) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
23-42 (.354) |
53-12 (.815) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
22-13 (.629) |
25-10 (.714) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
82-91 (.474) |
137-36 (.792) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
55-68 (.447) |
108-15 (.878) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
27-23 (.540) |
29-21 (.580) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
63-53 (.543) |
91-25 (.784) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
38-36 (.514) |
67-7 (.905) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
25-17 (.595) |
24-18 (.571) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
260-291 (.472) |
380-171 (.690) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
159-169 (.485) |
244-84 (.744) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
101-122 (.453) |
136-87 (.610) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
30-26 (.536) |
45-11 (.804) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
22-19 (.537) |
36-5 (.878) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
9-6 (.600) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
52-65 (.444) |
91-26 (.778) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
31-37 (.456) |
54-14 (.794) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
21-28 (.429) |
37-12 (.755) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
71-81 (.467) |
102-50 (.671) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
40-43 (.482) |
60-23 (.723) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
31-38 (.449) |
42-27 (.609) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
107-119 (.473) |
142-84 (.628) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
66-70 (.485) |
94-42 (.691) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
41-49 (.456) |
48-42 (.533) |
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